Forum Topics ARB ARB Bull Case

Pinned straw:

Added 4 weeks ago

Ive had a few chances to purchase ARB at some great prices over the years including $2.40 in the GFC and around $11 during early stages of Covid lockdown. Could this be another opportunity? A fair bit has happened since then with founder stepping down and the changing face of vehicles on the road, so I have a bit to catch up on.

I’m not worried about the ebbs and flows of currency and factory capacity which is spooking the market now. More central to my investment will be long term trends in vehicles on the road, that could impact their market position. For example will they be making parts for Teslas and Chinese vehicles? More to come once I dive in

Theres so many opportunities presenting themselves at the moment. Greed is kicking in. Good time to be a Strawman member!

Lewis
Added 4 weeks ago

I've made moves to top up @PhilO . I put a sell order on an etf to free up some funds. It's a 4-5 day process to sell the etf in one broker and transfer across to my broker of choice for individual stocks, so I have some thinking time (it's only 2026 and internet banking is in it's infancy apparently). I also hold an irl 4.5% position in ARB after the recent fall, so if it bounces back before I get a chance to top up I won't be horribly dissapointed.

My thoughts are spread out in a few other posts and haven't changed much, but briefly: I don't think anything has changed structurally or for the long term. In fact I think they've been beavering away whilst in the post covid slump re-vamping physical stores, opening an online store, shoring up relationships with key OEMs and executing well with a USA aquisition/expansion plan. If they can manage to keep doing what they're doing, and the short term headwinds abate I'm guessing earnings growth comes back maybe with a little P/E expansion as their quality premium returns (I'm thinking over a multi-year period).

‐-------- OR -------

Im trying to catch a falling knife, averaging down to preserve my ego and seeing a bargin because Ive price anchored on previous highs.

Time will tell.

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