Discl: Held IRL 7.88% and in SM
Have been quite surprised by the C79 price action following yesterday’s Trading Update as I thought it had a lot of positive news in it, with possibly 1 downside.
RECORD SAMPLE VOLUMES
Record 1m + samples processed in a single month in consecutive months of March and April 2026 - this is really positive as it represents (1) continued growth in uptake of photon assay and (2) drops straight into Additional Assay Charges (AAC) revenue and profitability.
Not only has it been steadily rising month-on-month this FY, the volume of samples processed is a huge 50-100% jump from the prior corresponding month in FY2025.
AAC was 27.1% of revenue in 1HFY26, up from 11.2% 1HFY25 - the full-year FY26 number could end up being higher if this 1m+ monthly volumes are sustained in May and June.

NEW PHOTON ASSAY AGREEMENTS
There has been a noticeable acceleration in NEW Photon Assay agreements signed - this is hugely positive
- 19 were signed in FY26 YTD, with 5 since 1HFY26, these 5 being:
- ALS added 2 units, 16 in total, 4 of these relate to entering new regions for C79
- Bureau Veritas added 1 more unit
- Allied Gold added a 2nd unit plus one more miner-contracted unit
This diversification across customers and contracting models is healthy
To put this in perspective:


DEPLOYMENTS
Probably a source of market disappointment, if it was indeed disappointed.
Only 1 unit was deployed since the 1HFY26 Update and it would appear only 1 further unit, currently installing, will be done by EOFY FY26 (8 weeks installation time) - that is only par for the course really
But was very encouraging was the deployment pipeline:
- 4 are ready for installation, from the ‘awaiting site readiness” comment, it looks like the issue is not on the C79 end, but rather on the customer end
- 4 are being shipped to site
This means that FY27 should see a minimum of 8 units deployed - that is not a bad place to be at all.
CASH & DEBT
At ~$4m per unit, funding does not appear to be an issue, with little risk of a capital raise, with the $200m debt facility coming soon.

GUIDANCE
No change to FY26 guidance, but C79 is now tracking to the upper end of the guidance range from the contribution of sustained high sample volumes:
- Revenue: $80m to $90m
- EBITDA: $20m to $27m
CHART REVIEW
Since breaking the green uptrend line and the 200 SMA line, in mid-Mar 2026, the C79 price has bounced between $6.68-$6.79 and $7.88 to $8.01 - my partial top up at $7.30 on 20 Mar 2026, per the last Chart Update, was not optimal as it turned out.
The price today successfully tested and stayed above the $6.68 to $6.79 support level - this appears to be a reasonably strong support level given the number of times it has held up in the past 6 to 8 weeks.
Given that the news is mostly positive, I suspect the price should continue to stay above, but bounce around these levels. If this level does not hold, then ~$6.15 is the next level down.
On the upside, the price will likely bounce around ~$7.29, then run into resistance between $7.88 and $8.01, which also happens to where the medium-term uptrend line is.
Will be looking at ~$6.68 to top up the remaining allocation to complete buying back into the parcel I sold at $9.98.
