Forum Topics AMC AMC AMC Chart Review

Pinned straw:

Added a month ago

Discl: Not Held, Usual For Entertainment Only caveats apply

@tomsmithidg, notes on AMC over 3 time horizons:

Firstly, zooming out through to Jul 2013 which is as much data as I have. 

  • All time Low = $34.85 - that would be the downside risk
  • 49.43 is looking to be rather strong support going back to Jul 2013, then re-tested successfully in Jan 2020

c0a575f433090f6be6893cfbb50cc1f092eaa2.png

Zooming in from ~Oct 2020:

  • Clear Double Top Reversal around June 2022, downhill since then
  • Bounces up have been around past support levels as drawn

d993cb2dc5ee4c2f81bccf275401ba33f5fded.png

Zooming further in from June 2024:

  • A Double Bottom MAY have already been formed
  • If the current leg hits $51.29-ish, then the 3rd bottom could be formed, which MIGHT suggest a trend reversal from bottom to up - but given market sentiment overall with the war, inflation etc, its anyone’s guess
  • This would be the only signs I can see of a reversal occurring - no idea if there is a business catalyst that might make the reversal more real than not
  • If it turns up from here, the rally should be capped around 59.96 in the short/intermediate term

9029524f1197698daa5588f29df64a7afb8276.png

tomsmithidg
Added a month ago

Thanks @jcmleng , you know how much I love those charts.

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jcmleng
Added a month ago

@tomsmithidg, there might well have been an inverted Head & Shoulders formed this week ..

Price target is shy of ~$60.00, which coincidentally, happens to be a decent support/resistance area AND the 200SMA. Price rises in the short term is likely to be capped around those levels ..

Can't tell if the trend has reversed to up clearly yet, but given the reasonably decisive break above the neckline, probability is decent that the downtrend might have been halted, if nothing, temporarily!

98e7217c5588fd9f954205b38c5a6ce6fb84a6.png


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PennyPincher
Added a week ago

A bit slow to the forum but this is one of my 'stalwart' stocks which I started to buy late 2025/ early this year (before the recent ructions in the Middle East) around $60-65. It appeared to me, cheaply priced, decent scale & moat, Berry acquisition on track and capable management. SP started to gain traction after the H1FY26 results and going to plan. The ME situation put a dent in trend but one which I believe to be transitory. I have been topping up in the low to mid $50s. If oil prices continue to moderate/stay at current level, resin prices should be turn from headwind to neutral/tailwind into FY27. I don't think its going to be a bagger but happy to make 10-15% pa on this investment.

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