Hi Biz24 - Watch today's episode of "The Call" on Ausbiz - copy and paste the following link into your browser:
https://www.ausbiz.com.au/media/the-call-tuesday-26th-may?videoId=1413
They start by talking about WEB, and they talk about FLT a couple of minutes later (after AFG). However, they failed to realise that everything they said about FLT applies equally to WEB. WEB had a massive capital raising, and their share count has now doubled, therefore if the WEB share price gets back to $4.98, they will have the same market capitalisation (market value) as they did at their Feb high of $9.96. If you want to use their Jan high of $10.48, then $5.24 would be the equivalent level now that they have twice as many shares on issue. They closed today at $4.40. However, while WEB might be bigger and better than they were in January one day, it won't be one day this year, and probably not next year either.
WEB have said that even with that massive capital raising, they still have enough debt that they need things to be back to normal by December or they're going to be in trouble again. In other words, if we get a second wave of infection in countries that look to be heading out the other side of this, particularly Australia, they could still be in trouble.
WEB's WebBeds division is the 2nd largest supplier of lodging to the travel industry. The company has operations in Australia, New Zealand, North America, Singapore and Hong Kong. North America and Hong Kong could be problematic, for different reasons. All I'm saying is that WEB looked too risky to me below $3, although if you wanted to take a punt on them, that was the time to do it (in March/April this year). However, at over $4, you've got pretty limited upside for a year or two I would imagine, and plenty of downside risk.
Regarding FLT, use the link and watch today's "The Call". They cover it reasonably well. Much better than they covered WEB. They stuffed that up royally. They completely forgot about the CR (capital raising) resulted in the number of shares on issue doubling and kept taking about where the share price was now in relation to where it was at the beginning of the year as though that represented potential upside. It clearly does not. They managed to remember that with FLT, but not with WEB.
In a nutshell, same thing applies to both. There's limited upside in the near term from here, because there are so many more shares on issue now and FLT have had a good run already, so the easy money has been made. But the risks remain. Of the two, if I was forced to choose (at gunpoint you understand), I'd certainly pick FLT over WEB, just because Scroo Turner is such a good manager, he went early and went hard in terms of the capital raising, was prepared to seriously dilute his own massive shareholding in FLT to shore up the balance sheet of the company in the face of this "Black Swan" event for the travel industry, and because he's making moves now to make this a better business going forwards. FLT are going to be more online with less "bricks & mortar" stores, and I don't reckon you'll see Scroo pay out his cash buffer via a special dividend again to distribute franking credits. He'll be keeping a cash buffer now into the future, because the one time he didn't have it was the one time he really needed it. Hence the CR. D'ohhh!!
Anyway, just opinions. Not advice. Hope it helps a bit.