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#ADT now in play??
Added 4 weeks ago

09-July-2020:  Resignation of Non-Executive Director John Richards

Interesting.  Sandfire (SFR), who owned 12.78% of ADT at last notice have withdrawn their director nomination (John Richards) on the ADT board, and Mr. Richards has resigned from the ADT board, which has just been announced.  And ADT is up over +10% today so far (at 10:38 eastern).  Not sure what that all means, but I'm following it. 

One possibility is that Sandfire are about to make a takeover bid for ADT, which would be less complicated if they don't have their own nominated director on the ADT board.  That director would obviously have to remove himself from all board discussions that relate to any move by Sandfire to take the company over.  Easier if he's not there at all.  The market might be betting on this being a likely scenario - and buying up ADT.

The opposite scenario is that ADT are preparing to sell out of ADT to realise profits, or to sell down to a level where they are no longer entitled to have their own director on the ADT board.

I own SFR shares, but not ADT.  This could get interesting.

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#SFR takes ADT to court
Added a week ago

31-7-2020:  Litigation Proceedings Commenced by Sandfire Resources

Adriatic Metals Plc (ASX:ADT, LON:ADT1) refers to its previously announced Collaboration and Strategic Partnership Deed (“Deed”) with its major shareholder, Sandfire Resources Limited (“Sandfire”). 

Sandfire has commenced legal proceedings in the Supreme Court of Western Australia against the Company. Sandfire’s purported claims include a declaration that Adriatic has breached the Deed, specific performance of the Deed, damages, interest and costs.

Sandfire alleges that it was entitled to acquire a total of 4,127,139 shares in Adriatic, in the form of CHESS Depository Interests, at various issue prices pursuant to its anti-dilution right in the Deed.

The Company intends to vigorously defend these claims and will keep its securityholders informed of any material developments in this matter.

--- ends ---

[I do not hold ADT shares currently, but I do hold SFR shares]

We were speculating in recent weeks about why SFR removed their nominated director from the ADT Board.  Was it in preparation for a full takeover attempt, or was it that things had turned sour between the two companies - that their priorities were no longer fully aligned?  It appears to be the latter, but it could actually be both.  However, seeing as SFR are now taking ADT to court, a "friendly" takeover now seems less likely. 

I'm not convinced that SFR have entirely lost interest in taking over ADT, particularly as this court case is all about SFR being able to maintain their previous percentage holding in ADT (at prices that the two companies clearly do not agree on).  SFR believe that their CSPD (Collaboration and Strategic Partnership Deed) agreement had anti-dillution rights in it that guaranteed Sandfire the right to maintain their percentage holding of ADT even when ADT raised capital via private placements, or through any other means in which additional shares were issued by ADT.  It is likely that SFR's view of their agreement meant that SFR thought they should have been able to purchase ADT shares at the same price as the placement price on each occasion (or else at a pre-agreed lower price), but that ADT did not extend that offer to SFR on those occasions.  So, while the honeymoon appears to be over, the real marriage might still be to come.  It's just more likely to be an arranged marriage now, if it happens at all, and the bride might not be entirely happy about it.

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#Speeding Ticket
Added 4 weeks ago

11-July-2020:  I just noticed that the ASX issued ADT with a Speeding Ticket (aka "please explain", or, officially, an "ASX Price and Volume Query") yesterday morning and then published that with ADT's official response during the afternoon (just after 2pm).

In their response, ADT said the following:  "Prior to the commencement of trading on 9 July 2020, ADT announced the resignation of John Richards from the board of ADT.  Mr Richards was appointed as a Non-Executive Director of ADT following his nomination by Sandfire Resources Limited (SFR), under the terms of the Collaboration and Strategic Partnership Deed between ADT and SFR.  SFR had advised ADT that they have withdrawn their nomination of Mr Richards.  As a result of the withdrawal of its nominee Director, investors may be speculating as to SFR's intentions with respect to ADT, including potential corporate transactions. ADT advises that it is not in negotiations or discussions with SFR as to any potential further corporate transactions. ADT is not otherwise able to explain the recent trading in its securities."

A little heat came out of the ADT share price as a result of that.  They traded as high as $2.05 earlier in the day, which was +11.7% above their Thursday closing price of $1.835, after they had risen +17.63% on Thursday (from $1.56 to $1.835) on the speculation that they describe here (and that I described in my straw here on Thursdsay morning titled "ADT now in play??"), however - the heat did come out of the share price after the "Speeding Ticket" response was published - and they closed almost flat, down just -1.5 cents (or -0.8%) at $1.82, which was their low of the day.  Still, ADT closed up +20.5% for the week, so there are still some prepared to speculate on some M&A activity from SFR here. 

All we can glean from the ADT response to the ASX query is that SFR and ADT have NOT been in negotiations or discussions regarding a potential corporate transaction, but, as I said on Thursday, I would expect that SFR removing their nominated director from the ADT board might well be a preliminary (early) step in that process, so I wouldn't discount the possibility too much.  In other words, it might still happen.

However, as I also said, it could play out two ways.  The other way it could play out is that SFR are preparing to sell down their ADT stake (or sell out) to a level where they would no longer necesarily be entitled to have a nominated director on the ADT board.  The only time that the ADT share price has been this high before was for a couple of days in January this year, so ADT are basically trading at all time highs (or within a few percentage points of).  SFR have a working copper/gold mine in WA (De Grussa, near Meekatharra) where they are currently well into the high-grade Monty deposit that they found on Talisman Mining's land a couple of year ago (and then bought off TLM), they are actively searching for more viable deposits around De Grussa via a number of JVs with tenement holders, plus Sandfire are already well into the development of two other projects.  The most advanced is their Tshukudu Operations which include the T3 Copper-Silver Project located in the Kalahari Copper Belt in Botswana.  That came via their acquisition last year of MOD Resources.  Sandfire also have their Black Butte copper project in Montana USA.  I wouldn't put it past Karl Simich to take on a third development at the same time as he's developing T3 and Black Butte, but he could also just be positioning his company to realise some decent profit from their ADT investment.

As an SFR shareholder, I actually would prefer it to be the "take profits" option, because I think companies can spread themselves too thin if they try to do too many things at once in different parts of the world.  If SFR do buy out ADT, they would then be operating in Australia while developing projects in Southern Africa (Botswana), and the USA, and in the Balkan Peninsula in southeastern Europe.  And that could be a little too much to do all at once.

If I was an ADT shareholder, I would of course be hoping for the takeover, or I'd be selling into the expectation of one perhaps.

One thing remains fairly certain.  This is not over yet.

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#ASX Announcements
Added 4 weeks ago

Ann: Response to ASX Price and Volume Query

As a result of the withdrawal of its nominee Director, investors may be speculating as to SFR's intentions with respect to ADT, including potential corporate transactions. ADT advises that it is not in negotiations or discussions with SFR as to any potential further corporate transactions. ADT is not otherwise able to explain the recent trading in its securities.

IMHO: This probably doesn't change anything. SFR could just be hiding and waiting for the right moment to pounce.

Unfortunate for me. I want to hold this one long term (have held since 2018 when it was 80c)

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#Bull Case
Added 3 months ago

ADT competitive advantage of first geographical mover and has access to prior historical documentation. 

Company is well managed and has good co-operation with local government. 

May well be a takeover target for bigger players. 

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#Reports & Presentations
Last edited 4 months ago

08-Apr-2020:  Adriatic Metals Quarterly Activities Report and Cashflow

ADT QUARTERLY ACTIVITIES REPORT For the 3 months ended 31 March 2020:

HIGHLIGHTS:

  • Additional mineralised drill intercepts confirmed a robust extension of the high-grade mineralisation, that remains open along strike.
  • Further metallurgical test work produced a Copper concentrate grading 25.1% Copper and containing 9,550 g/t Silver and 20.9 g/t gold. A sequential locked cycle test also produced saleable lead, zinc and barite concentrates.
  • Successfully negotiated an amendment to the Vares Project Concession Agreement thereby confirming the Company’s rights to gold, silver and copper.
  • Reprocessing of gravity survey data over the Rupice and Jurasevac-Brestic areas highlighted several significant geophysical anomalies as drill targets.
  • Drilling continues with 5 rigs with over 2,800m of the 2020 exploration program completed.
  • Cash balance at 31 March 2019 of £11.8 million (A$23.8 million) ensuring continuity of operations from existing cash resources well into 2021.

...click on link above for more...

Disclosure:  I hold ADT shares.  I also hold SFR shares, and Sandfire owns 12.78% of ADT.  Highly speculative explorer, but for that small portion of your available capital that some people are happy to gamble with (rather than invest), ADT are one of the more active explorers, with a solid copper producer (in SFR) on the register.  ADT will likely give you some serious bang for your bucks based on my past experience with them.  Volatile share price, very news driven, but they tend to release news reasonably regularly - as you do when you've got 5 active drilling rigs operating.  You can trade them, or hold for the takeover that might come (from SFR), or, if you have a lower risk tolerance, you could avoid them altogether.  That would be the best course of action for the vast majority.  I do like a little excitement at the smaller (position) end of my main trading portfolio.  Of course, my larger positions are much bigger companies who are all profitable and reliable, pay dividends, and have very strong balance sheets.  Companies like ADT (and LEG more recently) just add some excitement and interest at the other end.

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#Reports & Presentations
Added a week ago
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#Reports & Presentations
Added 2 months ago

03-June-2020:  Adriatic Metals MINEX Europe Presentation

While ADT is so far down around 4 to 5% today, it's a long game with these types of stocks, unless you want to trade them.  They are Explorers and Project Developers, not Producers, so speculation more than investment. 

Substantial shareholders in ADT include Sandfire Resources (SFR) with 12.78%, Datt Capital with 5.09%, their CEO/MD Paul Cronin with 12.88%, another Director, Milos Bosnjakovic, with 10.61% and Eric de Mori with 7.34%.  There is some smart money on the register as well as plenty of management "skin in the game".

ADT is on my Strawman.com scorecard, although I don't currently own any shares in them.  I do hold shares in Sandfire (SFR) however.

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#Drilling/Assay Results
Last edited 3 months ago
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#Vares Project Progress
Added 4 months ago

23-Apr-2020:  Adriatic Record of Decision Received on Environmental Permit

Adriatic Metals (ADT) is pleased to advise that the Bosnian Federal Ministry of Environment and Tourism has issued a positive Record of Decision (“RoD”) to Adriatic’s subsidiary, Eastern Mining d.o.o., for the Veovaca Environmental Permit, one of the key approvals required for the issue of the Exploitation Permit. With the RoD received, the Environmental Permit will be issued by the Ministry as the RoD is final and cannot be challenged. 

--- click on link for more ---

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#Reports & Presentations
Added 4 months ago
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