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#Response to Market Conditions
Added 3 months ago

27-Mar-2020:  South32 Acts in Response to Market Conditions

Excerpts, with some bolding added:

South32 CEO, Graham Kerr, said “As COVID-19 impacts people across the world including the countries in which we operate, we remain focussed on keeping our people safe and well, maintaining safe and reliable operations, and supporting our communities. At the same time, we are taking action to maintain the financial strength of our business in response to a rapidly evolving environment.

“Our business is well positioned to successfully navigate this period of uncertainty. The initiatives announced today are aimed at delivering approximately US$160M in lower expenditure over the next 15 months to protect our financial position. Our balance sheet remains strong, with reported net cash of US$277M at 31 December 2019, including cash and cash equivalents of US$1.4B, no term debt and an undrawn US$1.5B revolving credit facility.

“The prudent management of our strong balance sheet will continue through our disciplined allocation of capital consistent with our unchanged capital management framework. Since demerger, we have returned US$2.9B to our shareholders by way of ordinary dividends and our capital management program. The disciplined approach we continue to take to capital allocation and our simple capital management framework ensures our shareholders will be rewarded as financial performance improves.”

Lower expenditure comprises an expected reduction in Sustaining capital expenditure (US$150M) and exploration activity (US$10M). Sustaining capital expenditure savings will be realised by a reduction in spend of 10% in FY20 and 18% in FY212. In addition, to prepare for a potentially extended period of low prices, we are reviewing activity across the Group aimed at delivering a meaningful reduction in controllable costs, building on our strong Operating unit cost performance in H1 FY20. We expect to see the benefit of this work and lower producer currencies reflected in our FY21 Operating unit cost guidance.

Further to these initiatives, we have suspended the remaining US$121M of our current on-market share buy-back with the opportunity to review its extension ahead of its expiry on 4 Sept 2020.

We will continue to review the evolving environment, to understand the impact on timelines for our development options and will take further action as required to prioritise long term value across the Group. In this regard, the pre-feasibility study at Hermosa is now expected to be concluded in the Sept 2020 quarter. Separately, given the current market uncertainty, we are working with our JV partner to preserve the value of our Eagle Downs Metallurgical Coal investment beyond the investment decision scheduled for the end of this calendar year.

Mr Kerr said “Sustaining capital expenditure to maintain safe and reliable operations remains a priority, however the flexibility of our programs across the Group means that some activity is able to be deferred to future years in response to unexpected market conditions.

“Investing in exploration and our development options to create shareholder value also remains integral to the Group’s strategy. Our financial priorities remain unchanged, and today’s actions, including the suspension of our on-market share buy-back, are a prudent response to the current exceptional circumstances and consistent with our commitment to maintain a strong financial position.”

Update to operations:

The Group previously reported the withdrawal of FY20 guidance for our South African operations as a result of the government’s announcement of a 21 day nationwide lockdown, from midnight on Thurs 26 March.

In response to the government’s announcement, our South Africa Manganese operations, along with our export coal production from South Africa Energy Coal, have been placed on care and maintenance for a minimum of 21 days.

Our Hillside Aluminium smelter and domestic coal production from South Africa Energy Coal are considered businesses essential for the maintenance of power generation, given the role they play in the sustainability of Eskom’s generation network and will continue to operate during the lockdown.

In Colombia, because of the threat of COVID-19, the President announced a 19 day nationwide lockdown, commencing midnight on Tuesday 24 March. Our Cerro Matoso operation continues to operate with government approval at a reduced rate. As a result of the uncertain impact of the restrictions to production volumes, which are expected to be more than offset by a change in timing of our scheduled furnace refurbishment in the June 2020 quarter, we are withdrawing guidance and will update the market when further information becomes available.

To-date, we have not yet experienced production interruptions from COVID-19 at any other operations. We continue to monitor the impact of restrictions placed on the movement of people and goods across the world and will continue to update the market as appropriate.

[click on link above for more]

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#Bull Case
Last edited 5 months ago

South32 (S32) FY18 Financial Results Presentation, 23 August 2018


Net Cash.  Low cost, diversified producer of alumina & aluminium, coal, manganese, nickel, silver, lead & zinc. 

[19-Feb-20 Update:  Have signed conditional agreement to sell their South African thermal/energy coal assets, and their manganese assets are currently being reviewed.  They will most likely sell their higher cost South African manganese assets and keep their very low cost (lowest costs in the world) Australian manganese assets.  After their SA thermal coal divestment, S32's only coal exposure will be via metallurgical (met) coal assets in eastern Australia - met coal is predominantly used in steel construction]

Good management.  Committed to return 81% of underlying earnings to shareholders.  [have also been paying special dividends and have commited to over $1 billion in on-market share buy-backs, most of which has already been completed]

The market liked the result today.  Companies that report well and rise on their report generally do well in the months after they report also.  [Their Feb 2020 report was not as positive, and the market wasn't as positive about it either, but S32 have held up OK]

Companies that are spun out of larger companies (as S32 have been out of BHP) often do better than the larger company they used to be part of for years after the spin-out.  [that hasn't been the case with S32, but it's still early years]

I like this commodity mix, and I like their management.  [yep, still do]

And this is a good report.

Disclosure:  I hold S32 shares.

19-Feb-19:  Addiitional:  S32 reported their H1FY19 results last week (on 14-Feb-19).  See here.  Also, their results presentation can be viewed here.  I still hold S32 shares.

19-Feb-20:  This is a good time to be accumulating S32 shares, in my opinion, if you like their commodity mix; they have some of the lowest costs in the world for the commodities that they produce, and they have proven to have very shareholder-return-focussed management.  I have bought more S32 shares.

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#Company Reports
Added 3 months ago
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#Company Reports
Last edited 6 months ago
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#ASX Announcements
Last edited 9 months ago

18-Oct-2018:  South32 September 2018 Quarterly Report - see here

17-Oct-2019:  One year on, their September 2019 Quarterly Report can be accessed here.


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