Forum Topics Through the Microcap Looking Glass
Bear77
5 years ago

http://www.livewiremarkets.com/wires/through-the-micro-cap-looking-glass

That's a link to an excellent article - by Martin Pretty of Equitable Investors and the Dragonfly Fund, formerly with Thorney Investment Group - published on Livewire on May 22, 2019 (within the past week), that looks at the two sides (or "alternate universes" as Martin puts it) in the Microcap space.  The articles contains a number of truths that I found uncomfortably close to home, having invested in too many of the types of companies he describes (the bad ones I mean).  The poor behaviour he describes unfortunately matched the actions - in many cases - of the management of a number of my past "investments" (read: "investments that went very pear-shaped").  Luckily I have enough winners to keep those losses at bay most of the time, but there are certainly lessons to be learned here that can help us avoid some future losses.

Plenty of red flags to be aware of.  Articles like this one can help all of us become better educated, more aware of what to look out for and avoid, and ultimately be more succesful and happier with our investing journey.  It is particularly relevant to us here at Strawman.com I think, because so many of us dabble in the microcap end of the market - where the biggest gains - and losses - tend to be found.

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Strawman
5 years ago

Excellent article -- thanks for sharing. A good reminder to ignore hype, focus on fundamentals and always have an eye to value.

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Bear77
5 years ago

And to also keep a close eye on management, their competence, their trustworthiness, and to hold them to account - in that they do what they say they are going to do. The reality is that most people will do what is in their own best interests most of the time, and that includes the management teams of small microcap companies listed on the ASX. Those that have significant shareholdings in the companies they run are more likely to act in the best interests of ordinary shareholders - because their interests are more aligned with ours - but that's not guaranteed either. Martin makes an excellent point there about how these guys "earn" or are "given" their shares. If a founder builds up a company from scratch and earns his shares, he is much more likely to try to avoid share price plunges than someone who is given their shares for very little effort on their part - such as part of an IPO deal. Hype often serves as a good red flag, but management's actions are worth watching also. Additionally, I like the point about presentations that focus on mega-trends (such as cloud computing) that the company doing the presentation has only a very tiny exposure to - if any. That probably would be classified as hype, but it's unfortunately very common. I find this especially problematic in biotech companies where we may tend to take a company management at their word when they describe their journey, their position within that journey, their likely destination, the size of the opportunity, and how long it will probably take to get there. They are almost always wrong, on multiple fronts, and because most of us don't have the requisite training to fully understand everything within their presentations (such as the science of their IP, or the specifics of the way that regulatory bodies such as the FDA and the BSI tend to operate), we take these presentations at their word, in lieu of credible alternative information. It probably pays to be more sceptical - to believe very little of what you hear or read - unless you can back it up with credible supporting evidence from alternative sources.

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