Company Report
Last edited 3 years ago
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Performance (56m)
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#Exponential Growth
stale
Added 3 years ago

ACV (time-adjusted forward by 9 months) has forecasted trailing twelve months of quarterly cash receipts closely.

Assuming the ~9 month lag between ACV and trailing twelve months quarterly cash receipts continues, we may be able to forecast future trailing twelve months quarterly cash receipts.

I believe that this trend will continue and expect ~AU$5M in cash receipts to be received for the 01/01-30/06 period.

Working: Forecast AU$6.41M at Jul-2021 minus the last two quarters of cash receipts ($0.609M + $0.635) = AU$5.166M

Pointerra has already signaled that ~$1M of that ~AU$5M was already incoming, as at 31 December 2020 (before the 01/01-30/06 period had even started). See below:

December 2020 Quarter (Q2 FY21) Activities and Cash Flow Report 29 January 2021
"Additional A$0.96 million in receivables and unbilled customer accounts as at 31 December 2020" (See: https://www.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20210129/pdf/44s3r3kb7pn60s.pdf)

#Exponential Growth
stale
Added 3 years ago

"base case DCF valuation of $0.75/share"
"GP margin in FY20 was 92% ... stay around 90%"
https://lnkd.in/gReS-AH
https://lnkd.in/g2CANMa
https://lnkd.in/g7iNY7J

#Exponential Growth
stale
Added 3 years ago

Here is my new graph,
with exponential trend lines,
fitting data well.

##Exponential Growth
stale
Last edited 4 years ago

Decided to share this graph on here. Feel free to correct or nitpick at it. Keep in mind that September's AU$ ACV value has been calculated using the exchange rate today. Also keep in mind that quarterly ACV values are usually not released until a complete month after the end of the actual quarter's end. Expect September's quarterly ACV to be a lot higher than what is shown on the graph when the final ACV is released by the company at the end of October (1 month down, 2 months to go).