Forum Topics MIN MIN Bald Hill moved to C&M

Pinned straw:

Added a month ago

13-Nov-2024: Bald-Hill-Operations-and-Mineral-Resources-Update.PDF

MinRes have put Bald Hill on C&M (care and maintenance) due to sustained low spod prices.

Also, yesterday, MinRes released their response to the ASX's latest "Please Explain" letter: Response to ASX Query Letter.PDF [12-Nov-2024]

I note that in this response the MinRes Board say in the "Background" section on page 1: "In answering ASX’s questions set out in the ASX Compliance Letter, given the subject matter of the questions, MIN considers it is most appropriate to answer ASX’s questions without reference to Mr Ellison’s knowledge or participation in the below matters."

So they are responding as a Board less the Managing Director of the company, which seems odd since he's still part of the Board.

They then use the words: "Excluding the knowledge of Mr Ellison, the present Board would be speculating in expressing a view as to..." in questions 6, 7 and 8. These questions relate to the lack of disclosures in the MIN IPO Prospectus and also the lack of related party disclosures in the 2006, 2007 and 2008 MinRes Annual Reports.

I'm not sure if the ASX will be satisfied with these responses considering Mr Ellison remains on the Board and remains able to provide the Board with details of his knowledge of these matters.

The entire letter in response to the ASX's questions has been written as though Chris Ellison is on leave - which I believe he is - and can not be contacted by the remainder of the MinRes Board so they have gone ahead and drafted a response without him that basically relies on the premise that none of them were on the Board back then so they don't know.

Slomo
Added a month ago

With regard to your comments @Bear77 on the board not having Chris around to be part of their response to the ASX, I think Chris is back on deck - he was back in the office last Monday. The AFR were camped outside to get his photo leaving the car park - classy.

He also added his quoted comments to the Bald Hill mothball announcements this morning.

Hard to imagine the business making this mothball call without Chris driving it - or at least advising on it.

Agree the board could just ask him about those IPO matters as Chris was around at the time (and up to all sorts of mischief) but I'm not sure they trust him anymore?!?

Also agree the ASX might not accept this - as the board has access to these answers if they just ask the MD.

This is part of the problem of retaining CE as MD and not just CEO - he is still on the board (so presumably "fit and proper", etc).

It puts the chair in an especially difficult position.

I expect the chair is 'dancing quite close to the door', so may not last until the next AGM as planned.

However the chair going early presents another problem as him staying for 12 months gives them cover to keep CE in situ for 12-18 months so the new chair can be part of the new CEO hiring process.

This feels to me like they are trying to keep CE in place to see through the final investment phase (2.3bn in growth capex spent in FY24, 1.3bn growth capex planned in FY25, and reducing from there) and through the execution phase - getting Onslow to nameplate 35Mtpa capacity by Jun-25 as Phase 1 finishes and Phase 2 (50Mtpa) begins.

Once this happens the path to paying down debt becomes much clearer and financial risk should subside - derisking the business.

Once the debt is reducing and the new CEO is en route, both debt and corporate governance issues should be materially dealt with.

This is what I took the board to mean when they said they were balancing the interests of shareholders with acting on corporate governance breaches - no sudden moves.

Disc: Held.

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Rocket6
Added a month ago

Agree with your analysis @Slomo. To be frank, as a shareholder, I want him there for what is a key investment phase for the business. The balance sheet is plenty healthy -- a contrarian statement on my behalf, but I do NOT believe they at any point have racked up unsustainable levels of debt, and I disagree with both the market and a good portion of analysts. That said, I want CE around to make sure the business gets there as planned, as per his vision. Similar to your thesis, I believe this business will be spitting out free cash flow post 2026 and will be able to pay the debt off very easily, provided the iron ore price stays about $80.

Happy to take that bet.

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edgescape
Added a month ago

DVP is also down as well. Most likely this is affecting sentiment around the future of Mt Marion and that contract with DVP.

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Bear77
Added a month ago

14-Nov-2024: 7:54pm: Response to ASX Compliance Letter

The saga continues...

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