Forum Topics RIC RIC Ag Businesses?

Pinned straw:

Added a month ago

Anyone done any research on RID or ever held their shares?

I came across the company whilst surfing with one of their employees during covid in 2020.

Ridley Corporation is an Australian agribusiness specializing in animal nutrition and feed solutions. The company produces and supplies high-quality feed for livestock, aquaculture, and pets, supporting sustainable food production. Ridley operates manufacturing facilities across Australia and partners with farmers, producers, and industries to enhance animal health and productivity.


I did some research and came to the conclusion that the business was just cyclical...beholdant to the agriculture macro issues (like drought, flood, changing demand etc.).

Look at the chart when I looked at it in 2020 (around 70 cents):

520f358681066b161f43fa4e24c1ca397ca03c.png


Then new management installed in about early 2020.


Now look at it:

d29b4f6dbc1c894dd8c76feda40e0d286808f5.png



I was thinking of trying to work out what they did to turn it around.


But im interested in what others think of agriculture businesses generally. I'm not familar with them so it would be a large learning curve. And there are some industires I will not touch. Like airlines.

What do people think?





mikebrisy
Added a month ago

@Parko5 I tend not to touch agri-businesses due to their cyclical nature, dependence on weather, complex supply chain, and susceptibility to what happens internationally (under-/over-production, commodity prices, wars, etc.). It is therefore a convenient sector for me to not have to invest time in to become sufficiently expert to invest. I also have little in my skillset or personal experience that puts me on a near level playing field with others.

So, it is as much about personal focus, and knowing my strengths, than a sweeping generalisation about the sector.

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RogueTrader
Added a month ago

You say "And there are some industries I will not touch. Like airlines. "

Personally I have a whole list of sectors I won't touch (unless it's a REALLY compelling case) : Construction, telecoms, biotech, mining explorers, mining services (mostly - they're cyclical, competitive and capital-intensive), childcare, aged care, REITs, insurance, airlines, agriculture (they very rarely have decent ROE, and too many things can go wrong), fund managers, oil producers. Any suggestions for additions to the list? :)

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thetjs
Added a month ago

I’m concerned that with this many exclusions @RogueTrader that your limiting you’re portfolio’s abilities to go to the moon!!

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RogueTrader
Added a month ago

I'll make exceptions for really compelling cases - in RL I have shares in AAL, RUL, CDA, XRF and FID for example.

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Parko5
Added a month ago

Think I will file it here


7fb96e622c609ebad8ab177ef0336a2ef0b62f.png

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edgescape
Added a month ago

Such a long list @RogueTrader

And for airlines look where Qantas is now... Didn't think it would reach $9 tbh.

Any suggestions for what sectors we should buy?

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RogueTrader
Added a month ago

Well @edgescape with an expected jump in corporate activity, IPO's, cap raisings etc in the coming year, I along with some very savvy investors like EZL's prospects (one of my biggest holdings). CDA and XRF (two of those rare exceptions I mentioned) also look likely to report well, so I've been buying them. And NZM since the guys at WAM convinced me that NZ is likely to make a big comeback soon :)

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edgescape
Added a month ago

Thanks @RogueTrader

But I was more interested in sectors you like, not stocks

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RogueTrader
Added a month ago

"Thanks @RogueTrader

But I was more interested in sectors you like, not stocks"

Hi @edgescape when it comes to predicting future sector movements, I tend to agree with those who recommend to focus on individual stocks, and ignore the macro since it's inherently unpredictable :)

Tho I do like WAM's thesis that NZ stocks are due to bounce back, hence the purchase of NZM in my portfolio. And also that Oz small caps in general are overdue for a rebound soon.


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