Forum Topics February 2025 Reporting Calendar
Bear77
Added a month ago

9-Feb-2025: Here's the reporting calendar that the team at MarcusToday are using:

98ea2298bfc44487281af25398cf8362c8cdd8.png

CAR & JBH Monday, CSL, Macquarie and Breville on Tuesday, Australia's two largest gold miners are reporting on Wednesday (EVN) and Thursday (NST). CBA and CPU are also on Wednesday. On Thursday we have plenty, including IAG, ORG, S32, the ASX itself, Treasury Wines, Downer and Orora. Cochlear is on Friday.

For a more comprehensive calendar, try this one: CommSec_Reporting_Season_Calendar_February_2025.pdf

Here's the reports we should be expecting this week according to Commsec:

fb7aa64e431b1b0dd6536a12f3fc976d24c03a.png

And then it gets busier in the back half of the month:

55e2791ea7d4a5409ba6ef38d8cc0b73555685.png

9212049c69ea30f614f0ee296761376d05a090.png

3d3f8e3d1b2a9196980cb8a4123fc23e6122ca.png

06c2df1551e22ac02834cbcd98859aa220f8f9.png

Sources: MarcusToday and Commsec

By the way - the companies that reported last week (the first week of Feb) were:

b43c51aa1b295b71a9aa09aeab97a525cf948e.png

As you can see, it starts off with a handful of well organised companies, and gets a lot busier towards the end of the month.

26

Bear77
Added 3 weeks ago

Came across this one today from Bell Potter: https://www.desktopbroker.com.au/smarter/images/uploads/desktop_broker/pdfs/Reporting_Season_Calendar_February_2025.pdf

It covers a lot of the smaller companies, although not all of them, I note that one I do hold, GR Engineering Services (GNG), is not in BP's list. It appears that their reporting calendar contains only the companies that Bell Potter cover themselves with their own analysts, and ignores those that they do not cover.

They do it in date (chronological) order from page 2 to 18, and then in alphabetical order of the companies from page 19 to 35, however there are plenty of companies there where BP have estimated the date that these companies will report based on last year or a combination of previous years I imagine, which means they've got some interesting predictions including that three companies (CYG, DEG & GOR) would report today, Sunday 23rd Feb, which is not very likely, and only one of those (GOR) was an "estimate" apparently, with BP believing that CYG and DEG were confirmed to be reporting today, i.e. on a Sunday. So take it all with a grain or three of salt, however some may find it helpful.

It is annoying that there are still microcaps, such as GNG, who do not give reporting dates ahead of releasing their reports. In prior years I have emailed their CFO directly and asked for the date, and they have provided me with either a date or an estimated date, but have always stressed that it was subject to change, so they clearly don't like to lock the date in publicly, preferring to give themselves maximum flexibility, which I guess isn't as bad when there are bugger-all analysts and brokers covering them, but still annoying from my POV, as I like to be somewhat organised with regard to reading the reports of my key investee companies as soon as they report whenever possible, which ain't easy when you don't know when they're gonna report.

I haven't mentioned it elsewhere but I probably should mention that Mitchell Services (MSV) reported last week (Feb 20th) and I had half expected them to NOT pay a dividend because they had told us in their quarterly that they had made a loss for the half, but I held on, on the basis that they were still buying back shares every day as part of their active on-market share buy-back so I thought they might plow on with both capital management initiatives (the buyback and the dividends) regardless of the small loss which they ascribed to a temporary reduction in drill rig utilisation alongside increased spending ahead of new contract awards and new contract start dates. Yeah, nah. They declined to declare a dividend and despite their loss being already flagged in the quarterly and their outlook statements being typically bullish, they were sold down -9.3% on the day. And another -2.17% on Friday, so are now @ 31.5 cps vs. 35.5 cps close on Wednesday (the day before they reported)

I completely exited MSV on the day of the report both in my real money portfolio and here on SM, locking in losses, because I don't think there is likely to be a good enough catalyst to send them back up in the near term now that they've dropped the dividend so are no longer an income play, in addition to their share price being in a downtrend. My thesis was busted, and wasn't particularly great to start with because it relied on the dividend yield support, which, as it eventuated, evaporated on Thursday when they declined to declare a dividend, so now there's zero income and a falling share price, and they're in a competitive industry and are personally experiencing a downturn in demand for their services. I still reckon they'll be worth substantially more in the future, but I expect them to drift further south in the near term, for at least the next 6 months, so I didn't hesitate to jump off (sell out completely) as soon as I read their report on Thursday morning.

I don't get all my calls right, and I certainly got that one wrong. I should have sold as soon as I read the 29-Jan-2025 quarterly report that outlined the loss for the half, because logically, they should not have been paying a dividend when they hadn't made a profit for the half, and indeed they did NOT ultimately declare a dividend, so I should have given that eventuality a much stronger probability of occurring than I did. Bad decision making all 'round on my part, in this case. It wasn't a big financial hit, but it's still annoying any time I make a poor investment based on flawed assumptions and flush some capital down the drain as a result.

I mention that here for two reasons, the first being that I was quite bullish on MSV here a few weeks back, and I've certainly backtracked on that stance from Thursday morning, at least in the short term, longer term they should do alright, and secondly because GNG is a core position of mine, and while I have been lightening my GNG weighting ahead of their result - which will be on one of the 5 trading days in the coming week - and I know they'll be profitable and debt-free, I'm also concerned that because they have conservative management, they might well also suspend or reduce their own dividend because of lower revenue and earnings in H1 of FY2025, and/or because of a smaller order book now that BHP have shelved West Musgrave, which was GNG's largest single contract at the time it was put on ice by BHP last year.

To be clear, I don't intend to get out of GNG, but I would like to load up at lower prices if the market reacts negatively to their report this week, so I've built up more than my usual weighting in cash ahead of their result, and yes, it would help if I knew which day that result is going to be released.

When Joe Totaro was their CFO, I had his email address, but I don't have their current CFO's email (Mr. Omesh Motiwalla). I might try to get through to them anyway in the morning and see if I can get a date from them for their results.

14

Bear77
Added 3 weeks ago

Emailed GNG last night and got a reply back this morning saying that the company had just released their H1 report this morning. It was good, with everything up, including the dividend.

GNG's HY25 revenue was $272.1 million (HY24: $187.3 million) with EBITDA of $34.5 million (HY24: $22.6 million). During HY25, project execution levels remained high across the Group with major project work continuing into the second half of FY25 and FY26. The Group’s contracted and near term pipeline across the business is solid and is continuing to grow. During HY25, net cashflows from operating activities was $56.1 million which resulted in a cash balance of $111.8 million at 31 December 2024. The higher cash generation, nil borrowings, low capital intensity and excellent project delivery all contributed to the maintenance of a robust balance sheet. Given the solid balance sheet position, strong cash generation, orderbook and pipeline of project opportunities, the Board increased the interim fully franked dividend to 10.0 cents (HY24 was 9.0 cents per share, fully franked). 

GNG was up as high as $3.08 earlier in the day (which was +7.7% up on Friday's close of $2.86) and they closed bang on $3/share, so ended the day +4.9% up for the day. That $3.08 level they tagged earlier today was a new all-time high for them by the way, and the $3 close was their strongest closing share price in their history.

I topped up my GNG position in my largest real money portfolio today.

7