Forum Topics Residential Building - A Positive?
PortfolioPlus
Added 10 months ago

Up front caveat: Treasury forecasts are notoriously bad at meeting any semblance of accuracy & the following inclusion in the recent Budgetary figures must be be taken with a barrel of salt.

That said, it might also be a reflection of the Housing & Construction industry actually getting off the bones of its ass.

Effectively the Treasury 'stat hotshots' are saying FY26 will improve by 5.5% and then an additional 7.5% annual improvement in the FY27 year. Could be a 'hell yeah' moment for all those companies in this sector and when you think about it, the million or so immigrants 'couch surfing' & renting a room over the past few years need a place of permanency - not to mention the future immigrants who are lining up to join us.

True, there is the stolid, slow, inefficient bureaucracy & a BS government standing in the way of this becoming a reality. Just look at Labor's 45,000 homes out of 1,000,000 forecast becoming a reality - even then, those 45,0000 were largely bought from the market, not constructed.

Perhaps its time for our very own DOGE Department - not headed by Elon, but not be a bureaucrat either. Some seasoned business person who isn't afraid of wading in with the scythe flailing around the Canberra environs.

Anyone prepared to nominate a Housing & Construction special that currently represents exceptional value which can only deepen if this story becomes a reality? I'm thinking Capral Aluminium (CAA) have the systems & robotic efficiencies to cater for aluminium needs (windows and doors).


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thetjs
Added 10 months ago

I’ve always been a fan of Acrow (ACF). Relatively solid growth over the last five years though I think they will need to look at some M&A in the same field (primarily scaffolding) or start to look at adjacencies.

That being said I’ve neither bought IRL or on SM. More so due to other more interesting opportunities. But in all that time they’ve only gone steadily up.

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