Forum Topics Dermal Repair
mikebrisy
Added 4 months ago

$IART Results

Integra Life Sciences posted its 4Q results last night. I'll ignore the corporate result and zoom in on the Tissue Technologies segment with the key slide below.

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I wanted to call out two points:


1. Market Growth

Integra Skin is reportedly growing at c. 20% to pcp, which is significantly below the US revenue growth other both $PNV (29%) and $ARX (26% from cashflow).

But remember this +20% is to the pcp, and in the pcp the segment suffered signficant volume reductions due to impacts of facility closures following quality issue.

This indicates that the sector is overall still growing strongly, but that the underlying growth of $IART is well below the competition.

So this sets the scene nicely for next week, when we'll learn just how $AVH is faring. (The market is pretty pessimistic!)


2. Quality Issues

While Integra has apparently resolved the quality problems that led to recalls, shutdowns, and no doubt created space in FY24 for $PNV to achieve extra strong US growth, thus (in my view) masking its gradual maturing in the US. However, the report refers to "Shipping Holds". That's industry jargon for when you've made product, but can't ship it - in this case most likely for quality or regulatory reasons.

I think heard David Williams say on the $PNV call that $IART had withdrawn altogether from some of the international markets, no doubt as fallout from these issues.

On this latter point, here's my BA's analysis of last night earning call, including the Q&A.

TLDR: $IART is recovering from the product recall and facility shutdowns of FY23/24, but the reverberrations are clearing continuing into the next year.

And as an aside, this should be a reminder to anyone investing in healthcare (wehather pharma or medical devices) that quality is never something to take for granted, and a slip up can have very sigificant implications for a business!


Summary of Integra Earnings Call - Quality Issues in Tissue Technologies by ChatGPT (BA to mikebrisy)

Integra LifeSciences' Q2 2025 earnings call provided extensive detail on the quality problems, regulatory issues, and shipping holds affecting its Tissue Technology segment. Here are the key points:

1. Quality & Regulatory Compliance Issues

Compliance Master Plan (CMP)

  • CMP Execution: Integra completed internal manufacturing site assessments ahead of schedule (originally targeted for Q3).
  • No New Shipholds: Since Q1 2025, no new CMP-related shipholds have been identified.
  • Remediation: Based on assessments, Integra began executing a risk-based remediation roadmap aligned with FDA Quality System Regulations and past observations.
  • Program Oversight: A newly formed Transformation and Program Management Office oversees timelines, resource allocation, and deliverables.
  • Duration: Some remediation will extend into 2026, with continuous improvement becoming standard operating procedure.
  • FDA Status: Recent inspections at two non-warning letter facilities yielded positive outcomes.


2. Shipping Holds & Their Impact

Financial Impact

  • 2025 Total Shiphold Impact: Estimated at $100 million, up from $70M previously—no new holds, but remediation delays extended the financial impact.
  • Tissue Technology Segment Q2 Revenue: $111.6M, down ~4% YoY due to:
  • Shiphold impact, especially MediHoney.
  • Private label sales declined 5.9% due to component delays and lower partner demand.
  • Integra Skin and DuraSorb showed strong double-digit growth, offsetting but not fully overcoming headwinds.

Operational Impact

  • Shipholds particularly affected advanced wound reconstruction (e.g. PriMatrix, SurgiMend).
  • The Braintree facility, key to restarting PriMatrix and SurgiMend, remains on track for H1 2026 relaunch.
  • Shiphold recovery (resumption of shipping after remediation) is expected to partially drive Q4 revenue recovery.
  • No material new shipholds are expected in H2 2025.


3. Gross Margin and Cost Impacts

  • Q2 Gross Margin: 60.7%, down 450bps YoY.
  • ~400bps of the decline from manufacturing inefficiencies tied to shipholds and remediation.
  • Additional pressure from scrap, E&O costs, and tariffs.
  • Full-year gross margin expected to be down ~300bps YoY.
  • Remediation and supply recovery costs will continue through 2025, and some into 2026.


4. Customer Retention & Recovery Outlook

  • Near-Term: For products under temporary shiphold, most business is regained once supply resumes.
  • Long-Term: For off-market products like SurgiMend and PriMatrix, there will be a longer rebuild period, but Integra is confident in reclaiming share in the ~$800M soft tissue market.
  • Integra emphasized its strong clinical evidence base and favorable reimbursement environment as tailwinds.


5. Investor Guidance and Confidence

  • Management believes visibility into supply constraints is now high.
  • Shiphold updates will no longer be reported separately after Q2 due to this improved visibility.
  • No incremental new regulatory or shiphold risks were flagged for the remainder of 2025.


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mikebrisy
Added 4 months ago

I'm creating a new forum on Dermal Repair, so tha we can post here some of the insights we find across the sector that are relevant to 3 ASX-listed stocks $AVH(held), $ARX, and $PNV. [The latter two both previously held.]

I generally find medtech and pharma fascinating, both because of the science and the advances in many areas, but also from an investing perspective because the industry offers so many different ways in which you can choose to invest (or speculate!).

Dermal repair is seeing an ongoing revolution over the last 20 years, which has really accelerated in the last decade, and is ongoing. Historical standards of care like skin grafts, dressings and ointments are giving way to new technology where tissue substitutes/implants (both organic and synthetic) are driving remarkable improvements in patient outcomes and health economics. It is another area where Australia punches above its weight globally.

So, I'll use this forum to dump insights which apply equally across $AVH, $ARX and $PNV.

And my first one is ...

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thetjs
Added 4 months ago

Dropping in $TRP (Tissue Repair Company).

Though the last 12 months has been more reality show drama than commercial success..

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edgescape
Added 4 months ago

ARX hasn't done bad either but has not shot the lights out yet. I heard someone mention the margins are slim [held]

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mikebrisy
Added 4 months ago

@edgescape yes, you are right. $ARX continues to make steady progress.

Looking at trends over the last 8Q, everything is headed in a positive direction. Costs are well controlled, receipts are rising at a decent clip (CAGR of 22% last 24 months; 20% last year). (See the Cashflow analysis below, which I've now been patiently tracking for 5+ years!)

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Importantly, we've had three consecutive quarters of positive operating cashflow (first time ever), and FCF is also nudging into positive territory due to them now having passed through the FY22 - FY24 period where they were spending quite a bit on facilities capex. (I'm not sure when the next capex splurge will come - they are more capital intensive than $PNV.)

While they are lower %GM than %PNV (who isn't!), their %GM is still 86%, and they are showing scale economies in the operation, having raised %GM from 76% three years ago. From my view, in another three years, they could be knocking on the door of 90%.

I've never been excited by $ARX, but the consistency of their improvement over time is undeniable. And, they have a broad product portfolio, having made more progress in product development to exploit the platform compared with $PNV.

Over the last year, the different in slopes of payments and receipts has actually improved significantly - mainly due to disciplined cost control.

They've also been touting some clinical studies including head-to-head comparisons with competitors that are favourable to their products.

I'm keeping a close eye on them, and in the next round of full financial results will run the ruler across $ARX, $AVH and $PNV and decide which - if any - I am going to stick with.

The negative is that their fate in the US in the hands of Telebio to a significant extent. (I'm not sure what the latest state of play is there, as I missed their FY Presentation at the end of May, due to clearly the deck for my extended northern hemisphere sojourn.) **Edited remark: Actually,this isn't quite true. A few years ago they launched their own direct workforce to directly market their products in Complex wounds (Symphony, Endoform) and Myriad (Soft Tissue Reconstruction). Telabio leads on the products for internal surgery (plastic surgery, hernia = Ovitex). The revenue via Telabio looks to be able 4548% of total sales.

FY26 Outlook

Having been burned in the past by Telabio underperformance, I think $ARX's guidance for FY26 is conservative and will be beaten.

They are guiding 10 - 20% Revenue Growth (driven by the Myriad range growing at 25%), to achieve $5 - 8m Normalised EBITDA, up from $4,2m in FY26.

These growth rates are well below where the market is seeing both $AVH and $PNV.


Valuation

$ARX has the added advantage of being relatively well-priced, with the SP having gone nowhere for two years, but now in a clear positive trend, as the market starts to realise the business is becoming sustainable.

See the following compariosn on EV/EBITDA for FY27:

ARX: 11

AVH: 14

PNV: 19

IART: 5.5

I know using consensus out two years isn't that meaningful, but I don't want to use FY25 mutliples because the top three are either just at or not even at the inflection point, so the ratio is meaningless. I also don't want to compare revenue multiples, becase they have different margin structures and capital intensities.

So, I am keeping my eye on this one. I'm not convinced how strongly the "economic emgine" is, given the market competition. But things are moving in a good direction. And I really like management - straight-talking, not unduly promotional, candid, and pretty much always give straight anwsers to questions. (Of course, you expect no less from Kiwis!)

Disc: Not held


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mikebrisy
Added 4 months ago

@thetjs Yes, good to add. I'm not paying any attention to them at the moment, because I think they are still pre-revenue.

If I am still paying attention to this sector, I will look at them once they start to get to around $20m annual revenues. Until then I expect it is going to be about raising capital and managing cash burn while trying to hit milestones.

The difference in my approach between drugs and medical devices, is that (as a generalisation) novel drugs that are being developed into under-treated areas see stronger SP catalysts as they pass through regulatory development milestones. That's less of the case in medical devices like dermal repair, because the treatment field is already well served (e.g., DFU which is one indication $TRP are targetting.)

So, from a quick reading, I can't see the reward for taking the risk. But I'll be the first to say that I've formed this view without taking a proper look at them.

Do you have another view?

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thetjs
Added 4 months ago

My current view is to tread with caution.

They have two products. One aimed at significant wound repair the other at post cosmetic surgery.

The later has been launched and slowly generating sales.

The former is at the start of commercialisation.

Both products are of interest for their respective markets but still huge execution risk.

On top of that there is huge insider ownership and control. I’ve got a few stale straws on what happened recently with the ceo / founder reasserting control.

Im happily sitting to the side until numbers and commercialisation both start to become more reliable and of interest.


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