This weekend we celebrated my eldest’s 13th birthday, and so it was time to decide what we should invest in this year. So far, he has some DroneShield shares for his 11th Birthday and some Catapult shares for his 12th. These investments are much more than financial decisions—they're educational experiences, opening conversations about being a proud part-owner of a business, how Mr Market knows the price of everything but sometimes the value of nothing, how his 11th Birthday present went on a roller-coaster from 31 cents per share, up ~22x to $6.70 and then down ~70% in the last 2 months. The questions that have flowed from this are awesome. Did Oleg steal the company’s money?? No son, he didn’t.. he is entitled to sell his shares.. but the way he did it, threw us and all other shareholders under the bus. It’s a huge red flag against the people we trust to run “our business” for us.
This year we had some great conversation about what to invest in next. You can really see how young impressionable minds soak up information and for better or worse adopt much your point of view.
After a long conversation we decided to turn hard left, persuaded by Rampage’s arguments on the MF Podcast and a few YouTube explainers we bought some magic internet tokens!
How do we value Bitcoin, Dad? I don’t know son. I’m almost 50 and have never bought them before. Above my study door we have the Buffet quote, Price is what you pay, Value if what you get. I’ve explained Intrinsic Value with the boys before, but don’t expect them to fully grasp a DCF at this age. So, the only logical explanation I could offer is, that we are the latest in a long line of Greater Fools.
However, I was easily able to help my sons understand @Strawman's key argument, which centres on the devaluation of fiat currencies. I recounted a trip to Ho Chi Minh City, where while exploring the Russian market for war relics, we stumbled upon bags of old Vietnamese Dong notes for sale. My sons vividly remember me telling them that once upon a time a 100 Dong note would have been worth something, however the money has been devalued so much these notes are now worthless. With SG$1 worth just over 20,000 Dong, I told my sons if you dropped a 100 Dong note it is not worth your time to bend over and pick it up. The lesson was clear: the value of government-issued money will erode dramatically over time. Bitcoin is not controlled by any government.
I explained to Zack that for his 13th Birthday we are taking a “research position” as @Solvetheriddle called it, this will force us down the Rabbit hole. Our investment in Bitcoin isn’t just about potential returns; it’s an opportunity to explore new ideas, challenge old beliefs, and prepare my sons for a future where financial literacy is more important than ever. Whether Bitcoin proves to be a wise investment or not, the lessons learned will last a lifetime.
Of course I have massive lingering concerns, mostly stemming from my own ignorance. but also, how can we trust an amazing technology made by an unknown person.
Cheers
JM