Forum Topics CAR CAR Bull Case

Pinned straw:

Added 4 weeks ago

CAR has seen a large sell off recently on AI disruption and today on the back of the anthropic announcement.

I might be off but isn't the value in the network effect here, not the website being so much better than carsguide or whatever else?!

This AI kills everything software related seems crazy.

Strawman
Added 4 weeks ago

I agree @Mujo. Like a lot of things, AI is both a threat and an opportunity. And the market seems very focused on the threat part right now.

But like you i see the network effects as the key "asset". In fact, I can see how AI just becomes an added layer on top of what existing SaaS platforms provide, not a wholly separate competitive threat, but an augmentation for existing services.

It'll be interesting to see it unfold.

If a lot of the negativity proves unfounded or overblown, and im sure at least some of it will, making a strong case for value is still not straightforward.

Consider the 52-week high to low for the following:

Technology One - 45%, ProMedicus -52%, Wisetech -60%, Rea Group -35%, Car Sales - 39%, Xero -43%, Atlassian -65%, Netflix -40%, Oracle -55%, Microsoft -25%

It's the SaaSpocalypse!

(it sure makes Bitcoin's fall feel a lot less lonely, let me tell you)

The wild thing is, earnings multiples for many of these stocks are still well up there. So while my inner bargain hunter relishes the thought of falling prices, it doesnt seem unimaginable that prices could fall lower still.

22

lastever
Added 4 weeks ago

There must be a whole lot of people who have done exceptionally well out of SaaS for more than a decade, and others who bought the last dip, who have been resisting a huge tax event, but are reluctantly deciding to head for the door because they are 'overweight'.

15

OxyBBear
Added 4 weeks ago

I waded into the market and bought CAR today. I have it trading on a PE of just over 20 times on FY27 forecasts. TNE is next on my watch list.

14