I was going to post this on the AI thread, but will put here so as to not derail the convo and distract those that aren't interested in Bitcoin (as a note to new members, you can mute threads if you dont want to see them in your newsfeed)
Anyway, there's an interesting angle with AI that most people are not talking about.
The power of AI agents is not only growing, but so too is their capacity to coordinate and cooperate to reach aligned goals. In fact, like with humans, effective cooperation would inevitably enhance their collective ability and reach quite a lot.
But, like us, the bots face the same issue of trust with unknown economic actors. Something money, of course, solves. But the type of money matters a hell of a lot. If autonomous AI agents are ever going to function effectively as a network, they need a means to transmit value instantly, cheaply and permissionlessly. In the same way they must communicate with each other via TCP/IP they will need to center on an agreed value transfer protocol.
Of course, there is only one with the necessary liquidity, depth, infrastructure, programmability and decentralisation to be credible (sorry crypto bros)
The reality is that traditional payment systems are not built for this. They're burdened by KYC/AML requirements, have painfully slow settlement times, and very high fees. Moreover, they are structurally incompatible with agents that function without legal identities. There is just no way to stream micropayments between non-human actors in real time over the SWIFT network.
Closed proprietary networks could attempt to solve this, but the fact that they are permissioned, censorable, and have direct operating costs create inescapable frictions and limitations. Conversely, an open protocol that can be spun up by anyone (or anything) at any time, in a matter of minutes, and that is infinitely scalable.. well, it's not even close.
It’s an engineering necessity, not an ideological one -- if an agent needs to stream micro-payments for real-time GPU cycles, pay a fraction of a cent for a single API data pull, or outsource a tiny sub-task to another bot, it simply cant do that with the legacy banking world.
Just this month lightning labs released a set of tools that allows agents to operate natively and autonomously on the bitcoin lightning network. I'd urge you to read the release, cause it's kind of wild that AI agents can now just set up a wallet and accept payment without needing anyone's permission or knowledge.
I liked how Jason Lowry wrote on twitter: “AI agents independently discovering that Bitcoin gives them cyber sovereignty & then starting a bidding war with humanity over the only remaining Bitcoin available is not priced in.”
(That's because I like anything that reinforces a bias, haha)
But even if theres a lot of wishful thinking there, you'd think that, at the least, it would add some marginal demand for BTC.
Annyway, my view is that if you are bullish the internet and bullish AI, it's kind of hard not to be indirectly bullish bitcoin. At least over the very long term. It's just hard to see how BTC doesnt continue to gain adoption, utility and value as AI become more abundant, more capable and (most importantly) more networked.
Man, BTC is taking a beating.
Trumps pick for the Fed looks likely to set up an exciting week.
“May you live in interesting times” and all that….
wish I had some more dry powder but pulled the trigger on SDR and PME yesterday and nothing left. Might have to have a careful portfolio review when I get back from my ski trip, ahem, conference.
c
For those interested in Bitcoin this is an interesting viewpoint by Jordan McKinney on limitations of the Lightning Network and of Bitcoin in its current iteration. He points to a possible fractional reserve Bitcoin system with compliance audits of institutions and breaking of the hard cap as an outcome of the current trajectory of Bitcoin - basically another fiat system. He suggests a hard fork may be necessary.
Bitcoin just surged +$3,000 in 1 hour and reclaimed $90,000 as $120 million worth of levered shorts were liquidated.
Minutes later, $200 million worth of levered longs were liquidated, with Bitcoin now down to $86,000.
That’s a $140 BILLION swing in market cap in under 2 hours.

Per twitter