Forum Topics Fund Manager Insights
raymon68
Added a month ago

3 x asx stocks to check:

Disclaimer: Edu Holdings (ASX: EDU), Credit Clear (ASX: CCR) and Austco Healthcare (ASX: AHC) are held in TAMIM Portfolios as at date of article publication. Holdings can change substantially at any given time>

While Edu Holdings benefits from policy clarity and Credit Clear from strategic acquisitions, Austco Healthcare (ASX: AHC) represents yet another type of opportunity. This is a technology enabled healthcare solutions provider operating in an industry experiencing rapid demand growth. 

AHC - Despite these strengths, the valuation remains undemanding. An expected EBITDA of eighteen million dollars for FY26 and a net cash balance sheet suggest that the business is trading at a discount to its long term potential. For investors seeking exposure to healthcare technology with real revenue traction and a growing global footprint, Austco is one of the more compelling small caps to watch.

What These Three Companies Have in Common

Although Edu Holdings, Credit Clear, and Austco Healthcare operate in very different industries, they share important qualities that matter for long term investors.

They operate in sectors experiencing genuine structural change.

They are run by capable management teams executing clear strategies.

They are improving their earnings quality and visibility.

They are building operating leverage.

They trade on valuations that do not appear to fully reflect their growth trajectories.

They remain under owned in the market, which creates room for future institutional interest.

And they are delivering results at a time when many investors remain distracted by macro factors rather than fundamentals.


1 year - Charts, Returns Below:

EDU

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Return (inc div)   1yr: 622.56%   3yr: 51.14% pa   5yr: 29.59% pa


CCR

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Return (inc div)   1yr: -26.76%   3yr: -15.11% pa   5yr: -18.20% pa


AHC

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Return (inc div)   1yr: 64.00%   3yr: 53.62% pa   5yr: 36.25% pa

Due Diligence,

18
NewbieHK
Added 3 months ago

I have been listening to quite a few podcasts over the last few weeks. Most of those podcasts have been around interviews with Fund Managers. It’s been the usual questions i.e. Are we in a bubble? Where are the opportunities? How is your fund performing etc etc.

Some of the interest information I have collected include…

  1. Everyone seems to be beating the market or their bench mark. Interestingly, the definition of the market and bench marks varies significantly.
  2. the variation in stocks being held across different funds with everyone still winning (this says alot).
  3. the conflicting messaging from managers I.e some of the big tech companies are overvalued, money can be made investing in a smaller competitor (usually the argument presented if they don’t hold)
  4. we own the market leader it’s dominating with first mover advantage why would you invest in a smaller competitor (usually when they hold the market leader.
  5. point 3 and 4 mentioned by the same fund manager in the same interview about two different stocks ha ha ha ha
  6. mentioning multiple stocks that have increased by over 100% in the last 12m (no mention of those not performing)
  7. pumping stocks often with contradicting comments to other stocks they hold (this amazes me).


Make of it what you want however, I can’t help but, think we are presently in a rising tide lifts all boats situation or am I on an Oprah Winfrey show where you get car, they get car, we all get cars!

23

Solvetheriddle
Added 3 months ago

@NewbieHK , I know I may sound like a broken record, but retail and professional investing are very different. With retail investing, you get returns on your investments. With professional investing, you get returns from FUM. getting FUM means gaining confidence and trust from investors, ie being regarded as a guru. So you only talk to the media with a good story; otherwise, run for the hills, even if it means torturing the data until it confesses. never say "I was wrong' or worse "i don't know", instead say you're the Australian Warren Buffett etc (thanks Geoff). well-worn process.

The most useful thing I have for professional investors is finding those with similar styles to me and looking through any new ideas they may have. then do my own DD on these ideas.

Everything else is noise, especially opinions on macro and future market movements

29
raymon68
Added 2 years ago

Managed Funds - Income, Mutual & Investment Funds Australia (lincolnindicators.com.au)

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Lincoln Indicators Managed Funds can cater for income, growth, or international diversification objectives.


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raymon68
Added 2 years ago

Tamim

All Cap Unit Class: 1yr 22.73% return

MER 1.25% ( if Tamim keep the performance up the management fee looks to be worth it. )

We use a bottom up investment approach that can be broken down into 5 steps:


Idea generation - ASX company news flow, broker research and company roadshows, news publications and social media forums.

Company research - We conduct a company analysis on its business model, industry structure and future catalysts.

Financial analysis and modeling - We are looking for businesses that meet our key investment criteria.

Management meeting and analysis -We look at management historical track record and alignment with shareholders (remuneration/incentives/shareholding)

Valuation and portfolio allocation – Each company is valued using a range of valuation approaches. Portfolio allocation based on margin of safety and financial strength of the business.

( Distribution Frequency - Semi - annual.)

TAMIM Australia All Cap | TAMIM Fund - Tamim Asset Management

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6

RogueTrader
Added 3 weeks ago

An interesting article on LiveWire re Small Caps:

https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wires/power-of-small-caps-over-the-long-term

"...super funds have been pulling capital from smaller companies to avoid jeopardising their performance against the MySuper Test which uses the ASX300 as a benchmark." (Did you all know about this?)

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25

Strawman
Added 3 weeks ago

That is an interesting chart @RogueTrader -- hopefully that bodes well for those of us that like to fish at this end of the market.

Re Fleetwood, which the author tips at the end, I just thought i'd splash a little cold water on it. Not that I've had a close look for a while, but I did hold it in the past and found it to be a lackluster performer.. not a disaster, but never quite living up to the potential.

My main takeaway was that this is a structurally difficult, capital-intensive business. A massive amount of capital is tied up in working capital and production facilities, often to chase thin margins. Their track record on project delivery has also been a major red flag for me. The Rio Tinto Ti Tree Rail Camp upgrade in FY22 was a textbook case of execution risk, resulting in significant cost overruns and a $24-odd million segment loss.

Then there is the issue of capital allocation. We’ve seen repeated "clean-up" costs, including a near $30m goodwill impairment in Building Solutions in FY22 and another $9m impairment in RV Solutions just this past year. When you add the extreme operating leverage in Community Solutions (where segment EBIT massively depends on village occupancy, and for who the counterparty has massive negotiating power) you just get very volatile earnings. Which is the case historically -- super lumpy EPS despite more consistent and growing rveenue.

The current "Build, Transform, Grow" thesis sounds reasonable, and likely will be if they pull it off, but as the saying goes, turnarounds rarely turn, so it just says you need to be wary imo. That said, there may be some green shoots in the latest full year results but in a cyclical market and with a company with a bit of historical baggage, I’m not surprised the market is assigning only a PE of 10. FWD could be a great opportunity here, but I’m a bit once bitten, twice shy, fwiw.

25

reddogaustin
Added 3 weeks ago

@RogueTrader I have come across it before - thanks to money magazine! I recall an article (from last year maybe?) that covered aspects of the MySuper tests.

A google search now, revealed a different money mag article - but covers your point - and it lists the indexes of each MySuper test AND a short history - designed by pollies in lieu of APRA (according to the writer) which means it is a test, but may not be a suitable or effective test. The previous article I recall talked to Super Funds becoming quite risk adverse as they were afraid of the MySuper test results forcing costly governance changes. I know from an investing perspective - I assume my super account 'covers' the ASX 200/300 for me, and so my 'not super' investments can be weighted more heavily to foreign shares/ETFs and companies not in the ASX-200 or 300 to avoid overlap - lots of context depending of course.

Fun Fact - if you like to read about money (particularly for those starting out) - a local library membership will usually get you a free subscription to Money Magazine! (I read mine on a tablet device via an app called Libby)

25

Scoonie
Added 2 weeks ago

Agree Strawman in relation to Fleetwood this is a company that has long held a lot of promise, however has been an ongoing disappointer.  Bruce Nicholson was appointed CEO on the 1/7/21 and appeared to be getting the messy FWD show back on track.

Then at the end of last month FWD  announces:  “Fleetwood Limited (ASX: FWD) (Fleetwood or the Company) advises that Mr. Bruce Nicholson has departed from the role of Managing Director & Chief Executive Officer, effective immediately.”

What CEO leaves “effectively immediately” if there is not some serious filth going on. Fraud, accounting irregularities, performance disputes, sexual misconduct who knows.  

18

DrPete
Added 2 weeks ago

A quick follow-on from @reddogaustin, I'll throw in a nod to Money Magazine. I've been a long-term subscriber. I get the digital version via iPad app. Only about $50/yr. Usually a quick read each month, not overly intellectually challenging. But written at a level to support the layperson. I find it useful for some good refreshers and reminders, and sometimes useful to pass on to family. And I get a monthly article from Marcus Padley that I can scoff at :). I definitely get more than enough value to cover the subscription.

17

DrPete
Added 2 weeks ago

Following on from @RogueTrader, among the 6 index ETFs I hold, Vanguard Small Ordinaries VSO was my best performer this year, up 24%.

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