Nerdag
We are very much on the same page. Diversification holds merit if and when a market correction takes place. When you are well into, what can only be described as a 'market crash', the only challenge IMO is to be invested in Companies which will survive and then thrive on the rebound. Identifying what will thrive should in theory, correspond with your highest conviction stocks, that is, if your investment horizon is long term. For me, generally 3 to 5 years.
In my case, I have looked where the macro is least likely to impact on the Company's journey over the next 2 to 3 years. Looked at Companies which most likely can sustain without new finance ie will remain cash flow positive or where current momentum and proximity to profitability unlikey to be thwarted by the macro. Trying to stay clear of Companies which are directly or indirectly reliant on consumer spend (where the fallout is coming). Remaining invested in Companies which are industry or sector leading adds a level of comfort and adds to conviction ( in these unprecedented times LOL).
I have settled on 4 stocks on Strawman, these being Pointerra, Audinate, Playside Studios and surprisingly, Alcidion (only acquired recently).
In the case of my personal portfolios, have trimmed from 11 holdings to 7. The above four plus Pro Medicus, RPM Global and Cogstate.
All said and done, envy those who are sitting on cash. I am not very good at that.
RobW
Thought I'd update this thread with my current thinking.
Having taken a bath (on paper) on many of my holdings, I'm trimming low conviction holdings and redeploying into high conviction holdings.
A diversified small cap portfolio makes sense when the rising tide is floating all boats, but in the current market, I'm prepared to take more volatility and risk in a concentrated portfolio. That means some holdings are as high as 15% portfolio value.
Concentration, in my opinion, is where the big money is going to be made in a stock pickers market.
Would welcome others thoughts.