Forum Topics PVL PVL PVL General Discussion Forum
TEPCapital
Added 3 years ago

Good to see @BkrDzn buying PVL on-market on behalf of Capital H, albeit only in small quantities. It is reassuring to see that Capital H remain positive about this one. I certainly am. 2023 is shaping up to be a pivotal year for PVL with the "expand horizons" strategy pillar (with discussion around a move into commercial advisory and funds management revenue) plus solid progress in the underlying portfolio with a recent ASX announcement confirming that NTA is rising... If we see a handful of the portfolio companies move through new priced rounds in 2023, we'll inch closer to the 20c+ options targets for management which expire end of Dec 2023. I hope the team hits it; they'll very much deserve the financial reward if they can make it happen (given the share price currently stands around 5-6c/share).

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edgescape
Added 3 years ago

Thanks for the writeup.

I think it;s undervalued mainly because of sentiment. Also PVL reminds me of BLA (Blue Sky Asset Management) so I think there will be a few who will tread with caution on this.

Will have to do my own digging to check those valuations for all those companies but at this price it looks interesting. But I already have a handful with my current portfolio at the moment and accommodating this would mean letting something else go.

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Dominator
Added 3 years ago

@TEPCapital Skykraft is a long way behind Aireon in terms of implementation of space-based ADS-B. Aireon is backed by some of the largest and innovative ANSPs (NavCanada, NATS) and satellite communications provider Iridium. Space-based ADS-B is already in use across the Atlantic to reduce the separation standards required. According to Wikipedia, Aireon already has relationships with the following ANSPs/countries providers: Nav Canada, UK NATS, ENAV, IAA, AAI, Naviair, Isavia, CAAS of Singapore, ATNS of South Africa, DC-ANSP, ASECNA, Seychelles (SCAA), COCESNA Honduras and PNG.

Given the competition has all the know-how and is already using the technology, how is Skykraft going to be able to compete on a ROI basis? It takes a lot of money to get satellites into space and maintain those connections, since Iridium is a major satellite comms provider, they could be using the satellites for multiple different purposes to reduce costs... If Aireon can sign up the FAA, in my view it would be game over for Skykraft as all of the world's major Oceanic ATM providers (in traffic volume terms) would be covered by them.

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TEPCapital
Added 4 years ago

A little quiet here at the moment, but interesting to note that PVL is currently trading below net asset value. PVL has circa $6m AUD cash on hand and an audited portfolio value of circa $3m AUD, for a total net asset value of circa $9m AUD. That compares with a market cap of circa $7.5m AUD at the moment. It is a very illiquid stock so I suspect this one may rebound hard towards 10c+/share once the macro volatility settles. Also worth noting that PVL has minimal quarterly cash burn given the team has elected to take performance shares in lieu of a cash salary; very smart move.

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