Forum Topics 8CO 8CO What is a realistic TAM for 8common?
shearman
Added 2 years ago

I used to own shares in 8CO because they looked undervalued as a SaaS business and the short term looked positive

But I sold out because I couldnt really see a realistic long term case.

They seem to be making progress with Australian Government - but that has a limited upside that probably only gets them to around $10-12m

Then what?

Is there a realistic TAM to get to $100m within Australia?

Or is this just a short term (2-3 year) opportunity ?

Interested in what people think or research that has been done


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mikebrisy
Added 2 years ago

@shearman I have been thinking the same. I think of it as a niche offering with an opportunity of $10-20m Government, $10-20m Corporate and $10-20m Nof-For-Profit/Charity (although unclear how much traction CardHero is getting).

But it is not all about TAM. If it can create a focused $30-60m revenue business, with a high margin and profit, and pay dividends, then it could still be worth owning. Sometimes good business get destroyed in pursuit of growth.

I hope it satys focused, Fintech and Payments is very competitive and you can get big without making any money.

Disc: Held in RL and SM. (Small holdings in both)


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Slideup
Added 2 years ago

@mikebrisy yeah that is my hope that they stay focused on their niche and become very profitable. I don’t think they will add much value trying to compete with the big guys and gain market share.

In terms of where they go after the GovERP project they have said that they want to target the defence force, which would be several times larger than the current federal rollout. If they do the GovERP rollout well then you would have to give them good odds of getting the defence force contract at some stage.

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Solvetheriddle
Added 2 years ago

@mikebrisy wise words :)

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