It really does seem to be a case of beggars can't be choosers. Also a case of damned if you do, damned if you don't (re funding options). The debt path they ended up pursuing is undeniably expensive, but at the current price the alternative was a 10%-odd dilution for the equivalent cash. And, of course, the market was very much not in an accommodating mood for that kind of thing right now.
The change in market preference and credit availability over the past year or two really has been a rude awakening for a lot of companies. More early stage, growth-focused businesses should have learned to walk before they ran; they wouldn't be facing this dilemma now if the focus had been on self-funded growth.
So the error, in my view, was to be in this situation in the first place. It's always easy to say in hindsight, but so many of these companies should have been happy to forgo some growth in exchange for better financial resilience.
I do get it though -- it would've been hard to refuse all that easy money when it was on offer. Especially when the market and investors were only interested in market share and revenue growth.
Too often CEOs worry about bending to the demands of the market. But screw the market, says I! If you have a compelling opportunity and a sensible strategy, then make your case and investors can decide whether it's for them or not.
Just because your kids whinge and nag you for something doesn't mean you should listen to them. They usually have no clue what is good for them. Same thing here!
Anyway, given where we are, I still think the debt funded route was the better choice for EVS. Even if the terms are rather onerous. At the end of the day, they have a good suite of products that are showing good traction, and the company is right at the inflection point of profitability. The company is trading at just 1.3x recurring revenue, which *should* be able to grow at at least 15%pa, on average, in the coming years. Hopefully more.
In hindsight I should have sold down more than I did when the share price was higher, but at 6c per share now is not the time to capitulate (just my opinion -- NOT advice). As I posted previously, my main concern was one of trustworthiness -- which would have been shattered if they turned around and did a cap raise right after saying to us that they wouldn't. As it turns out, Jason was true to his word, so I'll pay that.