Pinned straw:
I really think Samuel Terry (ST) & Sandon can pull this off - provided retail apathy doesn't win the day by not voting. Early signs are the Board are feeling the pressure. Surely instos have to carefully consider the merits of what is requested, viz, incentives aligned to real shareholder improvement KPI's and a dividend commitment.
The KAR Board have proved to be accident prone, loose with their strategies, poor with their acquisition execution/s, exceedingly generous with their STI & LTI incentives and totally NOT shareholder focused. Why does it not come as a surprise when you see how few shares the Board hold. They are in this for the easy to obtain incentives which they then invest elsewhere. Talk about 'someone who is both gender & colour neutral' in the woodpile.
Plus they appear stodgy & unwilling to listen to reason. I truly hope they get handed their posteriors on a salve - love that old Roman word of 'salve' - perhaps we can short this to bum salve!
Anyhow, enough silliness, they are guilty of a terrible acquisition in the Who Dat field and the lousy equity raising to accompany same - all the while satisfying a not immaterial part of their STI of 'make an acquisition'. Come on.
At the very least I hope they get a Strike #1 on the remuneration agenda and are chastened enough to listen. Just look at what ST achieved with HZN.
I'm happy to give this a few years to play out because KAR is seriously undervalued when compared to other Aussie producers who have implemented a dividend policy. Gabriel Radzyminski is a good man to have in the shareholders corner. May 23 is the date for the big stoush! Ringside tickets all sold out.
I've been a shareholder of SNC on and off over the years @Arizona but not of KAR. I have a lot of respect for Gabriel R of SNC - he's also on the Board of FGX - Geoff Wilson's Future Generation Fund (the Australian version, not the Global Fund, and he's a mate of Geoff Wilson) and he has had some good wins, and also a fair few that did not work out so well for Sandon (SNC). I followed him into ILU before DRR got spun out, and he wasn't the first fundy to point out that the MAC royalty wasn't being properly valued within ILU and was better out of it. I made money on that DRR demerger (spin-out) but I lost money on SNC because the share price kept dropping. The high dividends (all fully franked) were predictable and welcome, but weren't greater than the share price depreciation I experienced during the holding period. I ended up deciding there were better opportunities - and SNC was the last LIC that I sold out of - in my real money portfolios. No LICs or LITs held now.
On the plus side, SNC has 32 cents/share in their profit reserve, so enough to cover many years of dividends, even if they increased them, and their NTA has been rising over the past year. The share price is still trading at a sizable discount (to NTA). April 30 NTA was almost 83 cps and the share price closed yesterday at 71.5 cps. Source: SNC-Net-Tangible-Assets-as-at-30-April-2024.PDF
If they can close that discount without the NTA dropping, there's money to be made there, but they have been trading at a similar discount for a few years now. It waxes and wanes but always a discount, never a premium, because of the hit and miss nature of activism investing.
Interestly, Gabriel manages the fund (SNC) but is not a substantial shareholder; he only owns just under 2.5 million SNC shares. The two "Subs" are Geoff Wilson with 6.6% (7m shares) and Ron Brierley's private company Siblow Pty Ltd with 22% (29.5m shares). Wilson's shares are privately held, not through WAM Funds or the LICs that they (WAM Funds) manage.
Ron Brierley, a New Zealand citizen who made his name as a successful corporate raider in Australia in prior decades allowed Sandon to merge with and takeover the management of his Mercantile Investment Company in mid-2019, citing "age and ill health" as his reason for stepping down from his last listed company role, hence his Siblow owning 22% of SNC now. He was "Sir Ron" but they have stripped that title from him since he was arrested in December 2019 in Sydney on charges of possession of child pornography. He pleaded guilty in 2021, and the process of his being stripped of his knighthood was begun by Jacinda Ardern, New Zealand's then prime minister at that time.
Above, Sir Ron in his younger days, a celebrated and successful corporate raider.
Below, Ron Brierley more recently.
Further Reading: Raider Ron Brierley steps down from last listed company role (smh.com.au) [6-June-2019] and Ron Brierley to spend 14 months in prison over child abuse material (afr.com) [14-Oct-2021] and Ron Brierley a ‘social pariah’ over child porn conviction (afr.com) [21-Aug-2020]
I did watch the MoM episode where Trav and JD interviewed Gabriel in Sydney (recorded last week and broadcast on Friday 10th May - last Friday). My thoughts are that Gabriel does a decent job, and has the occasional win, but there are easier ways to make money IMO. There is certainly room for more activism here in Australia, but it's not like the US where there are massive hedge funds heavily shorting companies while issuing short reports, or getting Board representation and forcing change. You don't even need to get a Board seat if you own enough shares, you can just threaten to vote against various motions at the AGM or EGMs and that can work, however you need to be big to do that.
Gabriel's strategies work best when he can find other major (substantial) shareholders to back him and they can vote as a block, because Sandon is a very small LIC - its market cap is only $100m, so SNC is very sub-scale and it's hard for them to take a meaningful stake in ANY company, unless it's a nanocap company, so Gabriel needs other larger shareholders to get onboard his campaigns or else the company he's targeting can simply ignore him because his (SNC's) shareholding is too small to be relevant.
Just some thoughts. Good guy. Good idea. Not sure it works well enough and enough of the time though.