Forum Topics PSQ PSQ Takeover offer

Pinned straw:

Added 4 months ago

So what seems like a never ending takeover proposal continues to get interesting. Roughly 9 months ago PSQ received a takeover offer of $1.40 from Genesis Capital. This has been bumped up several times and today NDC have lobbed a $2.05 offer on the table and the board has subsequently recommended the new offer. It will be interesting to see what Genesis do as this is quite a significant bump in price from $1.40 that was initially offered. Either way they have done well as their current holding has significanlty been boosted in value.


occy
Added 3 months ago

This one continues to be interesting and also somewhat puzzling although I'm not following the company as closely as I have already sold out after one of the improved takeover proposals.

So the superior offer from NDC for $2.05 has been voted down by shareholders. Obviously the competiting bidder Genesis voted no with their almost 20% holding but there were enough no votes from other shareholders to not pass the proposal despite the board recommending the NDC offer. The share price has obviously pulled back now. I'm not sure how this will play out so will keep an eye on it as the whole saga has been quite interesting.

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occy
Added 4 months ago

I've held shares in companies through takeover offers where the deal has ultimately fallen through and watched the prices tank and likewise I've sold out early instead of waiting for the takeover to proceed and missed the subsequent boost in price as another mob have lobbed in a superior offer. In this case I've copped the latter and sold out at the high $1.60's for PSQ and missed over 20% in further potential gains by not holding on. This is one area I've often struggled where my past experiences impact my thought process and I have far too often gotten wrong and cost myself a stack of money. I'd be interested in hearing what others do during takeovers on business they own, do you have a hard and fast rule or do you play it by instinct or make an educated guess on the information in from of you? I've sat through and waited on the Altium takeover (procees should be arriving in my bank account today funnily enough) although I also had a far larger holding so the extra 1-2% made it worthwhile for me so don't regret that decision.

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lastever
Added 4 months ago

@occy I'll add my two cents. I've had 2 takeover experiences - APM Human Services (who were struggling) and PSC Insurance (who were a good business).

APM, after a brutal share price fall, received an opportunistic conditional offer from private equity priced 220% over the low. The SP jumped all the way to the offer price after the news, however, the offer was quickly withdrawn after they examined the goods and the share price promptly fell a long way back. Months later a second offer from an exisiting major shareholder then came in 20% lower than the first and was accepted.

PSC was straightforward and a decent offer, but there didn't seem to be any further speculation so once the margin closed enough I got out to redeploy.

The lesson I decided to take is, if the company is on the nose, take what you can get at the first bounce and run far far away. If it's an attractive company, that would make me more comfortable to wait and see.


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