Forum Topics Finance doco
Strawman
4 weeks ago

This is hands down one of the best finance presentations I've seen in a long while.

Pure gold, from start to finish.

So many quotable lines, but "never trust a forecast with a decimal point" is worth a mention.

Also, towards the end of this talk (recorded in March this year) he pretty much called the capital flight to Japan which is what triggered the dump this week as the carry trade unwound.

Russel Napier (who kind of reminds me of a Scottish Ross Gittens) delivers a cracking talk here:

https://youtu.be/S5NA0nS2o-8?si=7OfqbihS8raedD2h

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Bear77
4 weeks ago

You trying to hook me in with that 2nd line there @Strawman ??










It worked!




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Enjoyed this one a lot, curious if anyone has read Russel Napier’s books and comments on them?

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Strawman
4 weeks ago

So good right? @stevegreenycom

The Library of Mistakes holds a lot of good lectures. You won't agree with all the conclusions (I don't), but it will definitely make you think.

This other talk is on my watchlist for tonight

https://youtu.be/bkbDgNjyDTM?si=VBEgkhSI5Nv8AcMz

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Strawman
a month ago

I watched "Princes of the yen" recently. A documentary on the Japanese experience post WW2 and how their central bank played a role in shaping the economy and ultimately inflating their property bubble.

It's based on the book of the same name by Richard Werner (an economist who's ideas I'm quite fond of, even if they are somewhat outside of the mainstream).

His whole schtick is that credit creation is the major driver of economic activity, and when that's directed away from productive investment and into assets or consumer spending you get all kinds of nasty consequences (asset bubbles and inflation, mainly)

For anyone that follows Russel Napier, a Scottish economist who I also really like, this might be up your alley.

Anyway, if you need a movie to watch this weekend, I'm sure this will make you think.

Link here

If you want to nerd out on some of his work, there are some good essays here

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Mujo
a month ago

These documentary/movies and book recommendations (like last weeks email) are great!

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Arizona
a month ago

I watched this with my 13 year old daughter over the weekend.

The implication is there is one hell of conspiracy to influence asian markets and economies.

Makes me wonder what strings are being pulled to influence our own economy.

Very timely @Strawman given the market drop on the Nikkei today, dow `13%!

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Strawman
a month ago

It does have a conspiratorial vibe to it, but most of it stems from "never bet against self interest"

Fwiw, I disagree with Werner on a few things. But the general idea of banks creating money and directing it into unproductive endeavours as the cause of most financial crises is something I very much subscribe to.

And yeah, Japan very much feels like the epicenter of things right now. Any major unwind of the carry trade as domestic yields in Japan rise would be very bad for bonds and likely necessitates another substantial round of QE from the fed..

Some chickens maybe coming home to roost. Or not! This can has been kicked down the road for a long, long time.

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