Forum Topics Residential Property
SudMav
Added a month ago

Interesting write up on changes to Macquarie’s lending practices arising from the removal of negative gearing:

https://www.afr.com/companies/financial-services/macquarie-changes-lending-policies-to-reflect-negative-gearing-ban-20260518-p5zy51

Might be a tough time ahead in the short term for borrowers with LVRs greater than 90%, especially those who are paying the bare minimum repayments.

12

Lewis
Added a month ago

It's significant @SudMav, and quicker than I though it would be. I would have banked on (pun intended) the incumbents riding out status quo for as long as they could. They seem to be getting in front of it. What will be really interesting is how/if the culture changes over the next few years. Imagine if tax agents and wise old uncles pushed youngings towards ETF's instead of over leveraging themselves into property just because it's the done thing. We'd be a different country in a decade.

-nice profile pic by the way : D

11

SudMav
Added a month ago

Well the thing that triggered my concern was what Scott Phillips had to say on the pod the other week, that properties bought between when the law is passed and July 2027 will only get 1 year of negative gearing.

lenders are better off planning now to factor in the changes, so that people who get a loan now can continue to service after 1 July 2027, especially with the apra buffers introduced last year.

My main concern is the second order impact that this new tax policy creates. From my time as a property valuer, you would always hear developers complaining about the constraints of meeting affordability requirements for first home buyers. I wonder how many developers will instead be targeting cashed up investors instead of new buyers. The increased demand in new construction is not likely to great from an affordability perspective.

You also get to see things like in 2008 where a two tier market appears, and new homes depreciate like a car once they are lived in for 12 months. It was never a fun conversation dealing with borrowers who weren’t happy that their house price didn’t go up at all in a 1-2 year period after building.

personally if I were a first home buyer post 2027, I would look to try and buy an existing property, as you would be fishing in less popular waters.

16

Lewis
Added a month ago

That makes sense to me, when you're buying your first car it shouldn't be a brand new one. It also makes sense that a house should depreciate (heresy I know). It's only brand new once and you've picked the plan and fittings to suit your personal taste and needs, there should be a premium on that. Of course the land will tick up in value slowly, especially if the area is being developed.

I'm with you on the 2nd order impacts, that will make it or break it. It'll be fascinating.

11
SudMav
Added 7 months ago

I think Chris Kohler nailed it with his recent post

https://www.facebook.com/share/r/1CiWDrSzwZ/?mibextid=wwXIfr

6
Jarrahman
Added 11 months ago

Something interesting I've come across looking at some property stats recently.

Annual house sales in Cottesloe over the last 10 years, annual Long Term Average is 100 and change. Currently, year to date is 37.

Tight tight tight

6854e9ab44791ba1d160679998dea0c88e9e93.png

Cottesloe often is one of the suburbs which leads the pack up and down and is the canary in the mine for many movements.

In the absence of any world changing black swan events, the media are going to be having a field day in the coming months about growth...

16

Lewis
Added 11 months ago

@Jarrahman, do you have a view on how the east coast compares to the west? Are they more similar than different? When the media talks about property it tends to be the inner suburbs of Sydney and Melbourne which often misses some of the story.

6

Seymourbutts
Added 11 months ago

Twiggy must be expanding his block.

10
Jarrahman
Added one year ago

Another monthly contribution in an industry I work in. Hopefully some analysis from my side assists someone with their decisions...

Contributing to the conversation with what I can!


After what’s felt like a stop-start few months, the Perth property market is finally getting a bit of clear air. The school holidays are done, public holidays are out of the way, and the Federal election is behind us. With those distractions easing off, we’re seeing momentum return to the market, and the general sentiment right now is pretty simple: just get on with it.

This week’s 0.25% rate cut from the RBA, the second in this current easing cycle, is a welcome sign. While it won’t have an immediate, dramatic impact on borrowing power, it signals that inflation is softening and the economy’s cooling just enough to give the RBA confidence to ease the pressure. For property investors, that’s key, because confidence and clarity are the fuel for decision-making.

In practical terms, we’re already seeing increased activity, especially around well-priced, well-presented homes. Perth continues to offer a compelling value proposition compared to the eastern states, and with rental vacancy rates still sitting incredibly low, yields remain strong. That combination of affordability and return continues to draw interest from both local and interstate investors.

From the conversations I’ve been having with clients, the shift in sentiment is clear. We’ve moved from a “wait and see” mindset to a “let’s make it happen” one. Buyers and sellers are becoming more realistic and more decisive.

The truth is, while the market isn’t running hot like it was a couple of years ago, it’s steady, active, and full of opportunity. There’s less panic, less noise, and more room for strategic moves.

13