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#ASX Announcements
stale
Added 8 months ago

Trading HALT till Tuesday

Reason for trading halt – The trading halt is requested to allow an update to the market on a material contract. 

To my surprise, and unfortunately my assumption is that BSA has missed out on a new nbn contract.

This is based on a couple of things:

1: Last time contracts were awarded multiple Delivery Partners went into trading halt and announced at the same time. BSA are alone ATM,

2: and more so.....Key BSA middle management have updated their linked-in profiles to state "open to work"

3, someone's dropped 100,000 shares onto the sell at 88c and this has been sitting around the $1 mark lately.

If correct, this will be a car crash of some magnitude and assume the end of BSA.

Theories say it takes 10-12 seconds to hit terminal velocity..... BSA stock may challenge that statement come Tuesday.

Disc bought in SM recently as I saw their recent partnership maybe a last requirement and positive to gaining an ongoing contract. If my assumption is correct that partnership might have been more of a last desperate roll of the dice.

If I'm unfortunately correct, it might be worth watching M-T If for entertainment purposes alone.

If it's the case, Downer, Ventia and Service Stream are all still in the mix

Interestingly, Lend Lease struggled with the services contract when they won it last time and eventually offloaded to SSL.

I will be eager to see who wins the new nbn contracts and if its a new DP whether they can manage the individual contractor model which is rather different to the larger project model that most of the bigger companies are familiar with.

#Quarterly
stale
Added 9 months ago

4 January 2025 Trading update, Quarterly Activities Report and ASX Appendix 4C For the Quarter Ended 31 December 2024

Highlights:

• BSA delivers Q2 FY2025 revenue of $71.4 million, an improvement of 10.7% versus prior comparative period (pcp).

• Q2 FY2025 EBITDA of $7.5m increased by 31.5% versus pcp, with EBITDA margin of 10.5% for the quarter also increasing vs pcp, as the Group aims for improved margins throughout FY2025.

• Q2 FY2025 net cash position of $2.2m as at 31 December 2024, with $16.5m of undrawn banking facilities available.

• Q2 FY2025 positive operating cash flows of $4.3m.

• BSA extends nbn Unified Field Operations Services Contract through to 30 September 2025 with a 12-month extension option.

• The tender for the new nbn field services contract, teaming with UGL, continues.

• BSA expects the current profitability run-rate to continue over the remainder of FY2025 subject to client volumes and therefore increases FY2025 full year EBITDA guidance range to $26m - $28m (previously $24m - $27m).

Interesting times for BSA.

Their continuing main source of revenue is the nbn UNIFY project in which BSA supply contract services in 2 and a bit states, BSA tried spreading into other contractual service areas in previous years and as mentioned in the previous straw pulled back in the past 12months to now have all their eggs in the one nbn basket, with a little EV power construction thrown in.

Regarding the new tender, nbn appears to want Deliver Partners who have a greater reach across Australia. Given BSA were mainly only active in 2 states the UGL partnership was a good fit.

26 Sep 2024 BSA announced joining with UGL to tender for the new nbn services contract. https://www.arnnet.com.au/article/3540652/bsa-joins-with-ugl-for-nbn-field-services-contract-tender.html

It's anticipated that successful bids will be announced sometime between March and June 2025. This is a major milestone that will make or break BSA. Without a successful bid they won't exist very long having only the (12 month extension option) to source some future revenue. That said, given their current knowledge of the nbn contracting model and their ability to successfully partner with UGL (a requirement of the new contract i assume) i'd have to say they are in with a good shot.

Regarding recent revenue, in Sydney they service all nbn connections south of the parra river/harbour bridge. SSL service the north, Rural is mixed.

Last week's electrical storm that hit Sydney had rather adverse effects on the nbn network and equipment which all transforms into revenue for the likes of BSA. These recent weather events have seen technician workloads for January increase, M-F in some cases 150-200% and have recently started weekend work to keep up with demand. As an example, they have technicians working all 3 days over the long weekend, which i anticipate Saturday work to continue for at least the next month.

This means they should easily achieve higher gross revenue than they had planned for January setting them up for a good start to 2025.

The other notable is that the government announced on13th January another 3billion to complete the FTTN to FTTC upgrade. This again creates more work for the initial upgrade and more work if customers then decide to upgrade their FTTC service to a full fiber connection.

There's a number of positives here that all assist with the ability to generate more gross revenue.

Confidence from BSA shown in the EBITA guidance range increase of 2mill to the bottom and a million to the top numbers announced yesterday.

I have recent purchased a small parcel IRL and SM for the short term with liquidity being a challenge.

#Risks
stale
Added 4 years ago

I know not a popular stock but an easy one for me to highlight given my involvement and knowledge of current events and potential for any would be investors to easily miss whats currently at play behiond the curtain.

The latest recommendation from the Senate enquiry is of major concern, for the current contracting model of the nbn workforce. Ive highlighted the below statement

The committee recommended that the recently revised ministerial statement of expectations for NBN Co be revised again to make NBN Co “responsible” for working conditions throughout its supply chain.

This is a huge risk as nbn has always relied on a large contracting workforce managed through the Deliver Partner Model.

NBN currently have a smallish internal workforce and throughout the onging senate enquiry have deflected responsibility for many of the current allegations/situations stating they have a contract with the DP and anything that goes on with the contracted workforce is between the contractors and the DP's.

I wont detail or comment on any of the findings or evidence reported thus far as it can be sourced by watching the hearings and is on public record for anyone interested, but given the mounting evidence that has been presented and allegations throughout this process, the current recommendation for nbn to take on responsibility for the workforce is exactly opposite to their current defence statements.

If this was to be adopteded, the only true way to then have directly responsibility is to have contractors, contract directly to nbn which has never been done before and i cant see ever happening personally or to potentially scrap the contracting model all together and move to a fully inhouse employee based workforce. This would take some transitioning but could be an option and a major risk to BSA.

If this were to happen BSA would potentially lose the nbn work or partially lose it. Needless to say, BSA appear to be the only DP that is contiunuallyat the forefront of this senate enquiry and the mountain of allegations that have been tabled thus far. Another risk is the workload could be completely transferred to one of the other DP's that seem to not have the extent of alleged claims against them that have been tabled thus far.


Gov asked to revise NBN SoE to cover field force work conditions

After inquiry uncovered concerning issues.


The NBN statement of expectations should be amended to explicitly make NBN Co responsible for the working conditions of all members of its extended field force, a senate select committee has said.

Subcontractors performing NBN work described difficult working conditions to the inquiry, with jobs unevenly distributed, poorly paid, and handed to an unending supply of inexperienced ‘technicians’.

NBN Co, meanwhile, was accused of outsourcing the welfare responsibility for its field force, though the company denied this was the case.

The committee made a scathing assessment of the “subcontracting pyramid model” used to farm out NBN work, which it said “facilitates unsustainable employment arrangements for those at the bottom of the subcontracting chain.”

“The committee believes that it is especially unacceptable for unsustainable and unfair contracting arrangements to occur within a project that is funded and administered by the Australian Government,” it said.

“Evidence indicated that there is pressure at every contracting level to make a profit and exert downward pressure on pricing and workforce conditions for smaller operators and individuals. 

“As a consequence, the NBN is serviced and maintained largely by individuals who struggle to maintain financial viability and must work long and sometimes unpaid hours in order to survive.”

The committee recommended that the recently revised ministerial statement of expectations for NBN Co be revised again to make NBN Co “responsible” for working conditions throughout its supply chain.

“The committee recommends that the Australian Government amends the NBN Co ministerial statement of expectations to explicitly state that NBN Co is responsible for conditions of work, exploitation and corruption that occurs in its supply chain, including for subcontractors engaged by delivery partners or prime contractors,” it said.

“NBN Co should be directed to prepare and publish a plan for how NBN Co will safeguard, monitor and enforce sustainable rates of pay and fair working conditions for NBN technicians.”

The committee also recommended that the “number of vertical subcontracting arrangements be limited to enhance transparency and accountability, to reduce the inefficient outlay of taxpayer funds and wage suppression that result when too many layers of subcontracting are in the delivery chain.”

If implemented, that would have the impact of reducing the number of layers between workers and NBN Co, potentially resulting in a greater pass-through of money to those actually performing the field work.

It’s unclear to what extent the government might adopt the recommendations.

NBN Co has separately engaged KPMG to audit contractor pay and conditions.

However, the company indicated to the committee that it has made no commitments to make any of the findings of the KPMG report public.


https://www.itnews.com.au/news/gov-asked-to-revise-nbn-soe-to-cover-field-force-work-conditions-571563

#Risks
stale
Added 4 years ago

There is an ongoing senate inquiry labelled, job security, that involves DPs managing contractors on the nbn platform. Last meeting was held on the 14/9 with evidence provided by contractors, BSA, nbn and ASIC. https://youtu.be/aIIx7B3zJW4 Part of this hearing can be seen in the above link. I wont comment further, rather wanted to ensure those invested or intending to invest in BSA are aware of this ongoing process in which they are involved.

A note on the implementation of their lightning system which appears to have positive effects in reducing head count in certain areas as it facilitates previous manual functions involving humann interaction.

Although not at 100% implemented, contractor adoption and use has increased significantly and appears fit for purpose and i can see the savings in process automation the system will deliver.

Disc i contract to BSA on the nbn platform.