Top member reports
Company Report
Last edited 11 months ago
PerformanceCommunity EngagementCommunity Endorsement
ranked
#9
Performance (60m)
14.4% pa
Followed by
221
Straws
Sort by:
Recent
Content is delayed by one month. Upgrade your membership to unlock all content. Click for membership options.
#Risks
stale
Added 11 months ago

Another victim of lower metal prices.

Galena mining undergoing a strategic review of Abra Mining operations

Shares are now suspended

849c830c55580294c576dfbb8917a100e3367c.png

Good call from @Bear77 warning everyone about the track record of Tony James

Appears also that Alan Molyneux also left.

That's 2 names to add on your blacklist should they become directors again

Abra is also an underground mine so this would be a negative for mining services companies

The mine was developed by Byrnecut and GR engineering (GNG). I'm not sure if Byrnecut or GR Engineering is involved in mining operations.

(21/06/2023 Gold Coast Investment Showcase Presentation )

62b379515782ec96a1e6ac035a2bbcff403239.png

#Bull Case
stale
Last edited 2 years ago

Noticed a few director buys here. BTW: Alex is the MD (source: marketindex)

21/12/22 Alexander Molyneux Buy +105,000 $0.228 $23,980 On-market trade

15/12/22 Alexander Molyneux Buy +145,000 $0.234 $33,875 On-market trade

14/12/22 Alexander Molyneux Buy +250,000 $0.230 $57,458 On-market trade

Correction on my calculations before

My rough DCF comes to be around 550m including capital expenditure. I got my Pound to tonne conversion wrong!

3640ed7b382638914cfdb81948e10c712d2143.png

So NPV of 575M overall but I guess the cash costs they quoted doesn't include interest expense on debt of 110m and royalties (so maybe 500M?). Still think stock is trading around fair value as this is a underground mine and anything can go wrong. Also the company has found copper gold drill results below the silver/lead Abra deposit.

(Previous incorrect statement as reference - my very rushed valuation (on the Nov 2022 presso) comes less than the current MCAP. So it is probably fair value here. Note that Abra is a underground mining op)

2a277c7972562e69ba9abe3f197d452010712e.png

f2aff2dae9c044ef3cd10ee04449fc150f35c9.png