My valuation of $0.37 considers revenue growth of 25% CAGR and now given the current valuation, I will be selling. The valuation assume a conservative scenario that have not materialise. Hence, risk-return for me is to sell down and buy back at lower valuations.
Please bear in mind, I have been wrong countless times, so take it with a grain of lithium :D Case in point; I sold Pointerra, Family Zone, Dropsuite and Vmoto during the last year pandemic selloff. All of which have gone up. If you held, you would be having enormous return. Same can be said for not buying Afterpay at $9.
I would not be surprised to see Alcidion reach $500M valuation. For me, the risk-reward not in my favour.