Forum Topics LGP LGP Positive cash flow

Pinned straw:

Added 2 months ago

LGP released their 4C today and their share price rose 30% on the news!

Highlights

  • Revenue of $10.2 million up 40% on prior quarter 
  • cashflow positive quarter of $0.6 million
  • They are getting some traction in the European market with 60% increase in flower sales into Europe with over 110% increase in French oil sales
  • Scale emerging with 30% increase in cash receipts but <15% increase in operating cash costs
  • Cash in bank of $4.8 million, up from $4.3 million
  • Seven of original 20 cannabis peers from 2022 currently delisted or suspended from ASX: LGP one of only two companies with positive operating cashflow, and of these the only one with growth


This is the best quarter in the companies history and they appear to be in a strong position to emerge from the rubble of cannabis companies in Australia. LGP have strong branding and this is helping sales.

I sold out of this stock (just a couple of weeks before this pop!) for two reasons:

  1. This is a commoditised product (despite the strong branding) and Canadian producers have been dumping onto the Australian market. LGP does not have a durable business advantage.
  2. There is increasing pushback from Australian college of general practitioners and psychiatrists and government regulation is becoming more likely in this area. See here.

For me this is an example of making the right decision for the right reason but getting the wrong outcome.

Jacques527
Added 2 months ago

Thanks for posting Shapeshifer. I saw the bounce this morning and exited my RL position at the speed of lightning. I get the feeling that while we play by the rules in Aus, the rest of the world isn't making it difficult for Cannibis business to get traction here. I'm taking LGP off my list, will maybe check in after a year or so. P.S this probably means it's going through the roof soon!

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Shapeshifter
Added 2 months ago

@Jacques527 I don't think you're alone. There are many long term holders who burnt a lot of capital on this one and are itching to get out on this sort of opportunity.

As I said I sold out earlier and got my timing badly wrong. This news came one quarter later than I was expecting and I got cold feet with the fundamentals.

I've learn't something about myself: sitting around and waiting for value stocks to rerate is not for me. Being in a stock with shit optics gives me too much fear.

Still I maintain there is still lots of untaped value in LGP (see below) but I'm not going back in!

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