Forum Topics WTC WTC Opportunity?

Pinned straw:

Added 2 months ago

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Ok WTC down heavily this morning on all that bad media. Is this over sold? I'd be interested in all Straw peoples thoughts here. The bull and bear case.

pubenvelope
Added a month ago

I recently purchased a large parcel of shares in my real-life portfolio at an average price of $104 during the lows (I wasn't able to on Strawman as my capital was all tied up). My investment thesis wasn't necessarily focused on WTC itself, but rather on my belief that the market had overreacted to the negative news regarding the company's CEO. Insights shared on these forums, along with some of my own research, led me to believe that this was a company capable of continuing effectively without White at the helm. This understanding, along with the strong moat created by the company's software, gave me the confidence to pull the trigger.

I'm genuinely surprised by how far the stock has rebounded in such a short time, almost reaching its previous all time high of $139. Today I sold 30% of my holdings at $130.30, which was a difficult decision as I feel the stock may continue to rise and potentially set new highs soon. That said, I realized that my original thesis had played out, and it didn’t feel right to hold such a large position in a company I knew relatively little about. Although I've never previously sold portions of a holding as the price increased, I've seen many proficient investors here do so and decided there's no harm in taking some profits now.

In summary, turns out that this was a really good opportunity and anyone that jumped on it has done very well - congratulations. I thought I'd share this in the event that there's someone else struggling to make a decision like I was.

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Arizona
Added a month ago

@pubenvelope I was looking at it today. Its rebounded beautifully. Congrats to you and all the other folks here that jumped on during that step down. It has played out beautifully.

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karlrockdrain
Added 2 months ago

I, like a number of you have been reading the articles and wondering why a man who has more money than he can spend, is allowing a court case to proceed for what really is tip money for him. There might be more to the bankruptcy proceedings that has been detailed as of yet. I don't believe I am overstepping the mark when I say that RW has a particular fondness for attractive women, and he has the means and the abilities to do that. That being said, he has to be mindful of the distraction that his private life has on his role as the CEO and the very public face of WTC. I would personally prefer that he takes a sabbatical for 3 months or so, and let the heat die down, because at the moment, the AFR and the Australian are getting plenty of fodder and pictures to use.


RW is no doubt a very smart man and who is able to get "buy in" from staff and management and you don't get to have a company of his size without being an exceptional leader. Just doesn't all fall into place overnight.


I am going to wait and see what happens in the next couple of days, but I am ready to buy back into WTC, especially if the dive in share price continues. If RW steps aside, I will hold off buying and see how the big Insto's and the market react

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thunderhead
Added 2 months ago

I will never understand why supposedly "smart" men of his ilk fall for the three vices Uncle Warren warned about - Leverage, Liquor and Ladies.

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Arizona
Added 2 months ago

@karlrockdrain It looks like RW is paying to have this case go away?

From the ABC:

Legal stoush between WiseTech's Richard White and Linda Rogan has been finalised


By Gareth Hutchens

The legal stoush has been discontinued

According to the Federal Court, the bankruptcy fight between Richard White, the billionaire founder and CEO of Australia's biggest tech company WiseTech, and Linda Rogan, the Sydney wellness entrepreneur, has been discontinued.


More to come I am sure

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thunderhead
Added 2 months ago

Yes. This was the most straightforward and obvious option, but it may already be a little late in the day for him - more details of his sordid behaviour and associated allegations have already been rife in the press.

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thunderhead
Added 2 months ago

Given all the distractions with the key person not being able to keep it in his pants, I would have to see a further fall to make this an obvious buy.

13

Arizona
Added 2 months ago

Yeah thanks @thunderhead its doesnt strike me as a screaming buy, just yet, but certainly looking more attractive than last week. Re the allegations made, this has a ways to go before its sorted out.

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mikebrisy
Added 2 months ago

It’s back at my valuation midpoint. I’m mulling it over.

Thinking through what discount needs to be applied for management distraction and risk of a CEO change.

It is now a business that should not depend on one person. The strategy is clear and its brand and market leadership established.

However. as investors, we’ve not really had sight of the management below Richard. Add to this, it’s getting a new CFO.

Im thinking I’ll watch this play out, even though I would normally definitely be buying back my full position at these levels.

Disc. Not held

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Arizona
Added 2 months ago

Thanks @mikebrisy While the allegations are serious and seemingly numerous, surely it shouldnt affect the day to day operations of the company itself. Surely he needs to step aside, at least in the short term. This is starting to drag on. There will surely be pressure on him now that the SP has actually fallen.

Fascinating to watch how this gets handled.

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