Forum Topics PDN PDN Falling 22% this morning

Pinned straw:

Added 2 months ago

Paladin reported operating cash outflows of $12.4 million as production costs ($27.4 million) offset revenues ($24.7 million). The company said the team has commenced the implementation of operational improvements aimed at addressing these issues.

Seems quite brutal. Could be an entry point.

Aaronfzr
Added 2 months ago

Definitely seems like a temporary headwind. Id have loved to buy more but Im fully exposed to $PDN at the moment. Price has retraced back to -14%, looks like many others held the same view

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SebastianG
Added 2 months ago

@Aaronfzr what's your reason for being heavy into PDN, purely a uranium play or something specific about PDN?

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Aaronfzr
Added 2 months ago

Purely on the basis of the uranium thesis, plus positive view on restarting Langer Heinrich. Not just PDN, also a little into Boss Energy.

tbh I have stepped outside of my wheelhouse here, as I havent been involved in mining for more than 20 years, so I may be missing better insights (and happy to be guided by smarter resources minds). I could free up more capital to put into PDN, but my uranium exposure is about 5% which I dont have the confidence to extend right now... I should probably just stick to health and biotech.

But my thesis is that uranium supply is relatively constricted (esp with khazakstan situation), over medium term I expect good returns, and the world needs more clean energy of which nuclear may be least-worst option.


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Bear77
Added 2 months ago

I'm not negative on uranium @Aaronfzr (and @SebastianG ) - I'm more neutral - as I don't have a good feel for the future demand because logically the price should go up but there is a lot of strong sentiment around uranium - both positive and negative - and it's also become a political football here in Australia with our Liberal opposition leader being for nuclear power here in Oz, and Labor deciding to take the opposite view.

I do note that uranium companies are often heavily shorted, and there are 4 uranium companies within the top 10 most shorted stocks on the ASX according to Shortman.com.au when I checked just now (7pm on Tues 29-Oct-2024):

d56e5b03eb85731841c9cbc2ca56314f0575ec.png

And the shorts have been rising not falling as shown on the graph there.

Those details were current as at 23-Oct-2024, i.e. 6 days ago, being 4 trading days ago.

Lotus (LOT) is one that doesn't get a lot of press:

ab1e1abe58557fff0f4a05c72673de91bc61b9.png

Source: Investor Presentation - Kayelekera Restart and Equity Raise.PDF

Since then (22-Oct-2024):

24/10/2024 (9:41 am AEDT): Upsized A$130 million Placement to Fund Kayelekera Restart

24/10/2024 (9:41 am AEDT): Retraction of Letlhakane Scoping Study Production Targets

I'm not holding any uranium companies directly at this point, but I have traded them in the past.

If I was going to hold uranium companies directly, I would probably do that through BOE and PDN as you have @Aaronfzr - not through DYL or LOT, but I haven't done any proper research on any of them. A portion of the market has a negative view clearly. That said, there has been money made on bombed out uranium stocks in the past 18 months.

But when PDN can drop from a year high of $17.98 in May down to $8.37 in September - so in 4 months - it's certainly a wild ride for those who are onboard.


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BkrDzn
Added 2 months ago

PDN got smashed as it has already walked away from guidance for FY25. First put it out in June 24, reiterated a month later in their Qtr report. This latest qtr report had any mention of guidance removed.

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