Forum Topics PDN PDN Falling 22% this morning

Pinned straw:

Added one year ago

Paladin reported operating cash outflows of $12.4 million as production costs ($27.4 million) offset revenues ($24.7 million). The company said the team has commenced the implementation of operational improvements aimed at addressing these issues.

Seems quite brutal. Could be an entry point.

Aaronfzr
Added one year ago

Definitely seems like a temporary headwind. Id have loved to buy more but Im fully exposed to $PDN at the moment. Price has retraced back to -14%, looks like many others held the same view

9

Aaronfzr
Added one year ago

Purely on the basis of the uranium thesis, plus positive view on restarting Langer Heinrich. Not just PDN, also a little into Boss Energy.

tbh I have stepped outside of my wheelhouse here, as I havent been involved in mining for more than 20 years, so I may be missing better insights (and happy to be guided by smarter resources minds). I could free up more capital to put into PDN, but my uranium exposure is about 5% which I dont have the confidence to extend right now... I should probably just stick to health and biotech.

But my thesis is that uranium supply is relatively constricted (esp with khazakstan situation), over medium term I expect good returns, and the world needs more clean energy of which nuclear may be least-worst option.


9

Bear77
Added one year ago

I'm not negative on uranium @Aaronfzr (and @SebastianG ) - I'm more neutral - as I don't have a good feel for the future demand because logically the price should go up but there is a lot of strong sentiment around uranium - both positive and negative - and it's also become a political football here in Australia with our Liberal opposition leader being for nuclear power here in Oz, and Labor deciding to take the opposite view.

I do note that uranium companies are often heavily shorted, and there are 4 uranium companies within the top 10 most shorted stocks on the ASX according to Shortman.com.au when I checked just now (7pm on Tues 29-Oct-2024):

d56e5b03eb85731841c9cbc2ca56314f0575ec.png

And the shorts have been rising not falling as shown on the graph there.

Those details were current as at 23-Oct-2024, i.e. 6 days ago, being 4 trading days ago.

Lotus (LOT) is one that doesn't get a lot of press:

ab1e1abe58557fff0f4a05c72673de91bc61b9.png

Source: Investor Presentation - Kayelekera Restart and Equity Raise.PDF

Since then (22-Oct-2024):

24/10/2024 (9:41 am AEDT): Upsized A$130 million Placement to Fund Kayelekera Restart

24/10/2024 (9:41 am AEDT): Retraction of Letlhakane Scoping Study Production Targets

I'm not holding any uranium companies directly at this point, but I have traded them in the past.

If I was going to hold uranium companies directly, I would probably do that through BOE and PDN as you have @Aaronfzr - not through DYL or LOT, but I haven't done any proper research on any of them. A portion of the market has a negative view clearly. That said, there has been money made on bombed out uranium stocks in the past 18 months.

But when PDN can drop from a year high of $17.98 in May down to $8.37 in September - so in 4 months - it's certainly a wild ride for those who are onboard.


12

BkrDzn
Added one year ago

PDN got smashed as it has already walked away from guidance for FY25. First put it out in June 24, reiterated a month later in their Qtr report. This latest qtr report had any mention of guidance removed.

10