Pinned straw:
Thanks everyone for their thought provoking posts.
It has got me reflecting on my own recent experience with Droneshield. Like many of us here I was in that stock but sold out at about $1.10 when it got well above my valuation. We all know what happened after that and it went all the way up to $2.70. I left a 6 figure sum on the table. One side of the coin is my process is logic based and over a lifetime of investing this will prevent the trip and fall that can come with over valued correcting share prices but the other side of the coin is the obvious missing the exuberant market emotion. Now this is not the way I plan on making money in the market - I'm in on the slow compounding thing - but the question I have been asking myself is if the market presents this situation to me again can I do better next time?
Just to clarify this is a situation where I think a stock is overvalued and I want to sell however the market conditions and/or stock exuberance have posiitive momentum on the share price.
What would have happened if I had used a trailing stop loss with Droneshield?
This is the share price action from when I sold at about $1.10 until it's peak at $2.70. Maybe I would have set a trailing stop loss of 10% and the first big spike down from $1.70 means I would have been stopped out at about $1.53. Although still well short of the peak at $2.70 still much higher than where I sold out at.
I know that stop loss is a dirty word for many but at the end of the day a trailing stop loss is just a selling tool and perhaps one I can use in this specific circumstance.
I know that no one seems to agree with me but as I've said before @mikebrisy I think this in the one situation to use a trailing stop loss:
Where you think a stock with upward momentum is overvalued AND you want sell.
The Tech One share price could keep heading up irrationally from here and your trailing stop would keep ratcheting up as well.
Unless you need the capital immediately I can't see the downside to this approach.
With CMC markets trailing stop loss orders are placed 3 price steps below the best bid price at the time the order is processed, which may be slightly below your trail level to prevent gap downs.