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Pinned straw:

Added 4 months ago

Botanix getting highlighted with some big names in the latest Livewire article. Now to see this re-rate where it should actually be. The market is not so forward looking with this one. It’s been a very very long wait for some of us.

https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wires/there-s-more-to-australian-biotech-than-just-csl-the-opportunities-to-watch


mikebrisy
Added 4 months ago

@Nnyck777 I think the re-rate will occur if/when the initial sales data emerges. Covering analysts have very conservative uptake assumptions. I think it all hinges on that. Only 3-4 months to wait.

The upside risk is if there is some early quantitative release information on the level of uptake in the 18,000 IHhS patients, in January or Feb, ahead of 1Q 2025. A strong positive response there could potentially have analysts re-thinking their assumptions.

Can the US trump Japanese uptake levels through a triumph of 1) DTC marketing / telehealth, 2) payor coverage and 3) a singular management focus? That's the multi-billion dollar question.

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