Forum Topics XRG XRG Company Announcements
Tom73
Added 4 months ago

Double Tap (7/8/25)

Today XRG had two very significant announcements around both the funding to support further development of Operator XR and sales of the system.

Firstly, XRG has been awarded A$2.1m from the Australian government’s Industry Growth Program to “accelerate Operator XR’s AI product roadmap”. This will be over 24 months (so around $250k a quarter) to support integration of AI and cloud services (under Ash Crick, appointed for this development), increase manufacturing capacity in Sydney and to assist with obtaining global security and quality certifications for large defence and government contracts.

XRG has been ramping up it’s capex development spend, so this provides some much needed cash to support this. Management have been working withing cash availability, so I see this as a boost to that investment, which is unlikely to result near term in free cash flows, but will boost growth rates long term and value.

Secondly, XRG has had it’s largest order to date for Operator XR OP-2, with the Texas Department of Public Safety (aka Texas law enforcement) placing an order for A$4.3m up front (Q2 FY26, for 2 years)) and A$1.4m optional additional support (years 3-5). From a cash flow perspective the receipts from this contract alone in Q2 will twice what the Operator XR business has provided to date and twice what the Entertainment business provides each quarter. If other revenues remain constant and it’s just on top of and requires minimal spend, then most of the debt could be paid off.

This deal is bigger than Texas (all puns intended), with it’s validation up there with the, LA SWAT and DoD contracts already in place adding to the cash flow implications. 

It is little wonder that pre-opening the company is up 20%

Disc: I own RL+SM

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UlladullaDave
Added 4 months ago

Good write up @Tom73

The difference between now and a few ago seems like night and day. The raise, this new contract and the grant have pretty much taken my main risk, that a couple of quarters of slow sales could necessitate a cap raise, off the table – at least for the next 12 months or so. I think it's reasonable for it to trade where it is now or higher given that risk has been put to bed.

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Goldfish
Added 4 months ago

Thanks for the write-up. And thanks for bringing this to my attention.

I bought a roughly 1% holding IRL in July

The thing that got me over the line was the director buying. Going forward I am going to give even more weight to small caps where directors are putting their own money in

The great thing about today's announcements, particularly the Texas one, is what it says about the quality of the product. There is a huge addressable market in US law enforcement and military, so plenty of scope for more upside to come.

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Tom73
Added 5 months ago

$2m Placement (26/6/25)

XRG has raised $2m via an institutional and sophisticated investor placement at $0.025 per share (80m shares) to support commercial expansion of Operator XR. Expected to occur 30 June and shares trade from 1 July.

Well not exactly expected, but cash balances are currently low so additional working capital makes sense. As usual with these quick placements us “retail investors” get overlooked… both understandable and disappointing at the same time.

I think they dropped their pants on the price at 2.5c, but probably better to have the cash at this pivotal point as they start exiting the Entertainment business and drive growth in the fledgling Enterprise business.

Director Philip Copeland’s purchase of 4m shares on 18 June at 3.2c is now looking less insider trader like and more supportive of business value.

If the price drops to 2.5c in response I may just have to buy some more, despite already being heavily weighted.

Disc: I own RL+SM

10

UlladullaDave
Added 5 months ago

I think this was penciled in after the Q3 4C which was pretty disappointing. (Disappointing enough for me to sell the small number of shares I had bought). This is a seasonally weak time for iFly and I'm assuming OXR probably hasn't had as strong a quarter as was expected. Copeland buying shares would lead me to believe they didn't wall cross the placement participants and tell them about what a wonderful quarter they were expecting (which would have been disclosed today if it had occurred)

It makes me also wonder how the iFly sale process is going.

Back in the too hard basket.

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Tom73
Added 5 months ago

The Q3 4C was disappointing I agree @UlladullaDave and said so at the time, this small capital raise indicates that cash remains tight but we will have to wait until the end of July for the Q4 4C to see if it’s due to lower than expected cash receipts or from higher growth and R&D investment. Probably a bit of both.

The exit of FREAK is happening currently based on lease exit points. The iFLY exit was only recently flagged so I expect it will be 6-12 months before that happens and they receive any cash from it. The FREAK exit is a closure so would be cash negative, I don’t expect much but in a tight cash balance it may also have added pressure for a raise.

As I mentioned when the low cash balance from the Q3 4C came out, it’s not good but they have managed a tight cash position for a long time, so I expect they will manage. This capital raise is frustrating due to the dilution, but they do need capital to exploit the XR Operator opportunity.

My biggest concern at this point around cash receipts from Enterprise sales is that the contract size seems to be dropping as an average per customer. Per below ARR per Customer has been sliding, and they are focusing on smaller customers, so the solid customer number growth we are seeing is generating less sales per customer than I originally anticipated.

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I also expected around $1m of additional cash from the DoD contract to be received by now, but it’s very back ended and this is ultimately a timing issue – still important for the current cash position.

So I agree @UlladullaDave , this is a sensitive point for the business as it rotates from Entertainment to Enterprise, staying away until they prove themselves with a few quarters of sustainable cash flow is wise and what most seem to be doing.

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UlladullaDave
Added 5 months ago

My biggest concern at this point around cash receipts from Enterprise sales is that the contract size seems to be dropping as an average per customer. Per below ARR per Customer has been sliding, and they are focusing on smaller customers, so the solid customer number growth we are seeing is generating less sales per customer than I originally anticipated.

Nice pickup! There might be a bit of noise in those numbers given how small the business is and the relatively short time period of 5 quarters. But it's definitely worth keeping an eye on.

Thanks for your work on this, btw.

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Tom73
Added 8 months ago

ALERRT Collaboration (3/4/25)

XRG announced reaching an MOU for collaboration with the Advanced Law Enforcement Rapid Response Training (ALERRT) Centre at the Texas State University which runs the FBI-designated national standard for active shooter response training in the US.

This is an initial 2 year collaboration, without funding obligations by either side, so there is no indication of any sales, but it will allow XRG to work directly with the lead training institute in the US to enhance their technology. In effect this is a research collaboration, which puts XRG in a very good position to ensure it has and maintains the lead when it comes to providing the best training support tech for PD’s in the US.

This is another validation and vote of confidence for the tech in the US, also another feather in the cap for the sales team to point to when in front of customers.

No dollars, but I do see this as a material announcement as it has been issued.

Disc: I own RL+SM

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