Pinned straw:
Excellent viewing @BkrDzn - thanks for the link. I appreciated you underlining the downside risks, particularly the gold price risk, and also explaining the conservative assumptions and fat that have been built into your model, and how the company can improve on that valuation (cause it to increase) by executing on their plans, proving out their gold through the drilling that they will be doing. etc.
As a HRZ shareholder, I also like the additional potential upside from M&A, both through divestments of non-core assets to reduce Horizon's overall tenement holding costs (and the minimum spend requirements under WA legislation) and also through picking up additional tenements, particularly land with good gold around Black Swan. Basically, improving the tenement package quality through M&A and further drilling.
Interesting that they are the 3rd largest landholder in the WA goldfields after NST and OBM.
I'm sure there's a pun to be made about Black Swan events here... but I haven't got the motivation or the clarity of thought to attempt that after a hectic day yesterday during which I had to run the gauntlet of Perth International Airport (Terminal 1) due to the aircraft I was booked to fly to Adelaide on coming from Bali and stopping briefly in Perth on its way to Adelaide, and being an hour late due to the volcanic ash issue in Bali, and a heap of other issues that I won't go into now - except to say that Perth's T1 need to get their gate scheduling and displays sorted out - I had my departure gate switched twice while waiting, and of course it was on both occasions to a gate at the other end of the terminal. And I tried to buy a $3 bottle of water at what turned out to be a duty free shop and they refused to sell it to me because I wasn't flying overseas. A bottle of water!!
Anyway, first world problems. Nothing that a restful day won't fix. And that's what I'm having today.
Thanks again Joshua. Excellent work with the initiation report and also with the presentation and the Q&A. Much appreciated.