Forum Topics BXN BXN TAMIM Portfolios Report

Pinned straw:

Added 4 months ago

I checked Tamin's positive Takeaway here: Valuation 8cps and a possible Fy26 15cps.


Beyond Cannabis: Exploring Psychedelics

Perhaps most intriguingly, Bioxyne is positioning itself at the forefront of the emerging psychedelics market. They’ve already signed their first commercial contract for MDMA capsules used in PTSD treatment, seeing significant potential in this nascent therapeutic space.

Challenges and Opportunities

The medical cannabis sector remains volatile, with historical investor skepticism due to previous market failures. Bioxyne must continue to differentiate itself by emphasising its unique regulatory advantages, manufacturing expertise, and clear strategic vision. Apart from regulatory risks, the market is growing fast, with Germany legalising in 2024 and already running over $1B in sales and eclipsing Australia.

A Unique Investment Proposition

What sets Bioxyne apart is its approach to medical cannabis manufacturing. Like Foxconn in electronics, they’re building a business model centered on becoming the go-to manufacturing partner in a complex, regulated industry.

Their competitive advantages are multifaceted:

– Comprehensive regulatory licenses

– Advanced manufacturing infrastructure

– Highly skilled operational team

– Ability to manufacture multiple product types

– Efficient, scalable production processes

Looking Ahead

As the medical cannabis and psychedelics markets continue to mature, Bioxyne appears well-positioned to capitalise on growing demand. Their strategy of focusing on manufacturing excellence, rather than direct consumer sales, provides a more stable and potentially more profitable approach to this emerging industry unlike many peers who are yet to turn profitable.

With projected revenues approaching $100 million in 2-3 years, a lean cost structure, and expanding international footprint, Bioxyne represents an intriguing opportunity for investors seeking exposure to the specialty pharmaceutical and medical cannabis sector.

The TAMIM Takeaway

BXN ticks all the boxes we look for in a company:

⁃ Industry leader

⁃ Founder led and alignment with shareholders

⁃ High growth and profitable

⁃ Strong cashed up balance sheet and Free cashflow generation.

⁃ Track record of under promising and over delivering.

⁃ Significant room for growth in a large TAM

⁃ Under the radar with no institutional ownership or broker research – yet!

⁃ Large discount to our 8 cents valuation next year and potentially 15 cents if they can achieve $100 million of sales.

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Disclaimer: Bioxyne (ASX: BXN) is held in TAMIM Portfolios as at date of article publication. Holdings can change substantially at any given time.

Chagsy
Added 4 months ago

Wow that’s certainly bullish @raymon68

$100m revenue in 2-3 years is quite a leap from where they are at currently. I would love to see the assumptions behind that. Although I haven’t laid out a bull, base and bear case as yet, I’m assuming 25-50% revenue growth for a couple of years before moderating to 15-25%, for a few more years. Even thinking that far out seems hopelessly inaccurate. They would need 50% revenue growth for three consecutive years to hit that target. I would be delighted if that came to pass

I hope to get more details at their Webinar on Monday evening.

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