Forum Topics C79 C79 FY25 Results

Pinned straw:

Added 4 months ago

Discl: Held IRL and in SM

SUMMARY 

  • Very nice Trading Update from C79! 
  • There is a delay to the finalising of its audited accounts due to “delays associated with completing the audit of international tax positions”. Does not sound sinister with a noted $5-10m deferred tax impact flagged.
  • 1HFY25 was a meh half, and so C79 needed to deliver a good 2HFY25 to meet revised down guidance, and I think this was well delivered.
  • Technology uptake is gaining momentum - the 4QFY25 samples processed spiked up sharply
  • Liking very much, the traction going into FY2026 with the contracts from Bureau Veritas and MSA NEM both looking to provide good growth in both new units and Samples Processed
  • Onward and upward!


KEY RESULTS

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Very nice upward trajectory of Total Deployed Units and new PA Lease Agreements, anchored by a steady delivery cadence and 9 units on hand for quick deployments - this is a much more comfortable and settled overall cadence than the frenzy of 2+ years ago.

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Noticeable spike in the 4QFY25 Samples Processed - fact-based evidence of the uptake of the deployed units and the overall PA technology.

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OTHER VERY POSITIVE SIGNS

  • Post EOFY signing of strategic partnership with Bureau Veritas (BV) for deployment of PA technology to South Americas
  • BV is the last of the 4 Lab majors to get onboard PA, so all 4 major Labs are now onboard PA
  • ALS and BV are the 2 Lab majors in South America - ALS has raced ahead in PA, BV is behind the curve in South America and has to catch up
  • A beachead which enables the establishment of a South America C79 hub in Chile - now established in all global regions
  • MSA with Newmont has broadened:
  • New contracted unit in NEM’s Merian gold mine in Suriname for FY26 deployment, the biggest mine in the country
  • 2nd adopted unit shows NEM’s confidence in the technology - 13 mines in total, 3 in the bag, 10 more to chase 
  • NEM has been more aggressive in adoption following the MSA - Barrick took a one-unit at a time approach vs NEM’s quick-successive unit approach (Ahafo, then Merian)
  • Contract signed for first deployment on next-gen “XN” units with SGS
  • Same analysis approach, but with smaller footprint, greater user efficiencies/easier to use and cheaper to install and maintain
  • XN’s automation which is the key driver of the improved XN efficiencies have been running for 6-8 weeks in the Perth SKS unit
  • First XN unit will land in 3M time
  • The BV deal is the last regional hub to be set up - costs from hereon are only going to be incremental


FY26 GUIDANCE

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  • Conservative view of Additional Assay Charges and MMAP
  • Does not bake in signs that gold industry exploration cycle “is on the up” - upside potential from AAC sample growth rate


Solvetheriddle
Added 4 months ago

Unusual not many numbers disclosed so my comments are with what we have. JMleng has given the details above. result was +4% better on revenues than my expectations, with units deployed well below the difference made up by rev/unit being very strong, due to higher utilisation (which is good).

2026 guidance again below my expectations of $100m rev being $80-90m. backsolving this guidance assuming rev/unit remains steady implies not many units added versus my expectations. (+9 vrs +18).

my expectations that the SP will double is fading as deployment of units is taking much longer than anticipated. Need full year numbers to assess this more closely.

The guidance on ebitda should mean C79 moves into profits in 2026, we dont know the 2025 situation yet. so thats good.

so my conclusion is its probably worth less than the $10 i was hoping for, but still progressing.

held-spec

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