Forum Topics BLG BLG Interview

Pinned straw:

Added 4 months ago

Here's the transcript from today's interview: BluGlass Transcript.pdf, and the recording is up on the Meetings page.

First off, apologies to @Clio and others as I forgot to ask the questions you submitted!! I've emailed Stef and she'll get back to me with answers to your questions ASAP.

My 2 sats worth:

Super interesting tech, and it's encouraging they are generating a bit of revenue and seem to have a decent pipeline of opportunities. Also good to know that there's no necessary CAPEX at this stage, and the cost base seems to be largely set for the foreseeable future. They have capacity to support $160m annual revenue, so lots of capacity.

All that being said, they will almost certainly run out of cash and you can expect a good number of capital raises before they are able to stand on their own feet. That's not necessarily a problem if they get anywhere close to their ambitions, but we know things tend to take longer and cost more than what people tend to think, and lots of potential goes unfulfilled. Business is tough, and cutting edge tech in a field with massive and dominant players is especially so.

So huge upside, but loads of risk -- at least at this early stage.


here's a chatGPT5 summary of the meeting:

Summary

  • Who: Andrew interviewing Stef Winwood (Blueglass, ASX: BLG).
  • What: Overview of Blueglass’ gallium nitride (GaN) semiconductor lasers, status update on commercial traction, manufacturing, and funding.
  • Why GaN: Higher efficiency, smaller form factor, better thermal performance and durability versus many incumbent laser materials; enables compact, high-power devices.
  • Use cases: Quantum computing, defense, industrial manufacturing/processing, scientific and sensing applications.

Commercial & Strategy

  • Model: Leaning to a foundry/partnering approach with OEMs and primes rather than going it alone on every vertical.
  • Traction: Recent commercial contracts signed; customer engagement across defense and quantum; qualification cycles under way.
  • Capacity: Current production footprint in place; expansion considered if contract volume ramps.
  • Differentiation: Device performance and reliability from GaN process know-how; positioning as an enabler for partners’ end products.

Financial & Capital

  • Cash/Runway: Discussed current cash position and expected inflows (including Australian R&D rebate). Last capital raise referenced.
  • Use of funds: Scale manufacturing, customer qualifications, and engineering to meet near-term contracts.

Risks & Constraints

  • Customer qualification timelines can be long (especially defense).
  • Execution risk moving from prototypes to volume.
  • Capex/scale decisions tied to visibility on orders.

Near-term Focus

  • Complete customer qualifications and convert pilots to volume orders.
  • Deepen OEM partnerships in priority verticals.
  • Prepare manufacturing scale-up playbook contingent on demand.

Open Questions (flagged or implied)

  • Expected timelines from current evaluations to revenue shipments.
  • How far Blueglass will integrate vs stay a specialist supplier.
  • Trigger points for capacity expansion and associated capex.
  • Longer-term gross margin ambition once at scale.


Strawman
Added 4 months ago

Stef got back to me re the questions submitted yesterday. Her responses below:

“The company is existentially dependent on Gallium supply. What is the company’s strategy to ensure Ga supply should China block exports for a lengthier period than the recent early-25 episode, which BLG weathered by using Japanese and US stockpiles?

 - Yes, we do rely on Gallium in our manufacturing process in Australia (not the US), and monitor trade and export regulations around the world carefully.

We have established a stable supply chain, that has not been impacted by export restrictions to date, we do source our material inputs from Japan and the US. We also consume very discrete flows of the gallium gases, and ensure that we stockpile around 12 months supply on-hand at all times to ensure that we can mitigate any supply chain disruptions (which also saw us through the shipping delays of the pandemic).  


“Page 23 of the CR presentation mentions 26 project opportunities in the pipeline. Have any of these firmed to contracts?”

Yes, we recently announced that BluGlass is now an approved supplier to the Indian Ministry of Defence's SSPL, with this development contract previously in the pipeline. In our latest quarter report we updated our project numbers to 29 projects now worth over US$100 million, and look forward to converting more of these opportunities to contracts. 


“Can current staff and facilities meet the hoped-for escalation in demand? Or does BLG expect to need to add people/facilities to fulfill the projects in the pipeline for FY26 onward?”

We currently have suffficient staffing and facilities to significantly grow our revenues to our max US$170 million current capacity. We are currently operating single shifts at all three of our facilities, and can quite quickly ramp to double shifts as demand grows, with minimal increases to our staffing levels. We also have the majority of our capital equipment needs now in-place across the suppply chain. As we mature, we will have capex required for commercialisation and manufacturing scale of higher-value product offerings for next-gen high-fidelity applications; which we intend to fund largely through development agreements with customers, so that we can meet their unique needs in the market.  


14

Clio
Added 4 months ago

@Strawman - thanks for following up. The answers are much as anticipated, but good to see from the company in black and white.

6