Forum Topics PXA PXA PEXA

Pinned straw:

Added 8 months ago

Prior to Russel Cohen assuming the role of PEXA (ASX: PEX) CEO and MD on the 28/2/25 he stated in an ASX release: “PEXA has significant opportunities ahead to leverage its core strength as a platform and digital solutions business. My ambition is to create sustainable value for shareholders, customers, employees and other stakeholders through disciplined strategic execution and clear focus on returns.”

The article below explains what this statement by Mr Cohen means in practice.  (Below article thanks to Ivor Ries and the Rampart website. Dishonourably reproduced by Scoonie without permission).

PEXA simpli Unstoppable

By Ivor Ries 

There are Monopolies and then there is PEXA.

Australia's residential property market is one of the most largest and most liquid and most efficient the developed world with more than 600,000 dwellings worth hundreds of billions changing hands each year and a transaction failure rate too small to calculate. The foundation stones of Torrens Title registration system and a national electronic title transfer delivers transaction speeds and certainty that are the best.

The only problem with this picture is the original vision for a competitive market place in title transfers – with multiple competing property exchanges – has run into a brick wall. That brick wall is a company called PEXA Group Ltd, which now accounts for 90% of all property transactions in Australia and 100% all of electronic transfers.

PEXA is a monopoly and over the past few years it has done an excellent job of using lobbying cajoling and lawfare to prevent any other player from cracking into the electronic transfer market.  By any other player I mean Simpli the only potential challenger which is owned by Christian Beck’s legal software ATI group (50.1%) and the ASX (49.9%). Since it started in 2018 Simpli is has racked up losses of more than $120 million and is yet to execute more than a few small trial transactions. The property conveyance industry desperately wants a viable competitor to PEXA as they fear that overtime the monopolistic PEXA  will nickel and dime away their already slender profit margins, one fee increase at a time.

Not that you will find many property conveyances who will stick their heads up and publicly take on PEXA. PEXA is fond of sending threatening legal letters to anyone who might criticise it stand in its way or look at it sideways like Al Capone PEXA has many enemies but none will testify against it for competition to work electronic title transfers rival exchanges called electronic lodgement network operators or ELNOs, must be able to talk to each other seamlessly which in industry speak is called interoperability.  Interoperability is essential if a property buyer is using one ELNO is to make a binding deal with a seller using arrival ELNO. If the wires get crossed between the two different ELNO's a transaction would be stuffed up and a manual work around would be required

In 2020 after several years of delays State and Federal ministers who oversee property transactions got together and stated that PEXA and Simpli had agreed to work together to have an agreed interoperability standard by March 2021. Four years later we are no closer to an interoperability standard.

Blocking and Delaying Tactics

The new regulatory deadline for interoperability is December 2025 . Like all earlier deadlines this one will pass with PEXA executives rolling around on the floor laughing. Delays and road blocks work very much in PEXA’s favour. PEXA knows that eventually Simpli shareholders will abandon their quest for a piece of the transfer market and PEXA will be king of the conveyancing world into the end of time. And for the production of delays and road-blocks PEXA takes the gold medal with a rich history of blocking and delaying tactics. Some of the recent ones take the cake. Last year PEXA sent legal notices to the major banks advising them not to participate in industry workshops where lawyers conveyances and the banks met to discuss progressing for interoperability as would this would breach PEXA’s intellectual property.

In December 2023 PEXA’s lawyers, Arnold Bloch Liebler sent a warning shot to ARNEC the Federal-State body charged with making interoperability work. After listing a number of reasons why PEXA did not feel bound by the joint Federal and State laws that regulate the industry, the letter argued that interoperability would allow Simpli to copy PEXA’s intellectual property.  ABL partner Justin Vaastra wrote that: “PEXA is duty bound to protect its intellectual property and other property rights in the PEXA platform and the interests of its shareholders and stakeholders. If the interoperability model pursued by ARNEC and the IOP (interoperability programme) scope threatens to jeopardise those interests, PEXA will need to take steps to protect its rights”.   In other words if you the Government Regulator want to impose the interoperability required under the Federal and State laws we will sue you. The lawfare strategy as intended scared the bejesus out of the banks and everyone else. Workshop sessions were delayed - and the big banks who's buy-in for this is required for the interoperability to work - refused to attend the workshop’s body charged with making interoperability work.

PEXA also sent letters to the NSW Registrar General and to the NSW Minister for Customer Service and Digital Government Jihad Dib, saying that they reserved the right to take legal action against the NSW Government if it kept pursuing interoperability. Perhaps it has happened before, but I certainly cannot recall a company threatening to sue a Minister and a Government for attempting to enforce a law impacted by parliament. This super ballsy and then there's PEXA ballsy.

As the website ARNECC makes clear, “Under Section 18A(1) of the National Law a person approved as an ELNO under section 15 of the National Law must, in accordance with the operating requirements establish and maintain interoperability between ELN operated by the ELNO and each ELN operated by another ELNO”.  PEXA clearly regards Section 18A(1) as optional.

Phalanx of Lobbyists

To further throw sand in the gears of potential competition, PEXA employs of phalanx of lobbyists and consultants these include former NSW premier Morris Imma who mentored the current NSW premier Chris Minns and was an early backer of the current Labor member for the seat of Lakemba, one Jihad Dib. So on one hand PEXA lobbyists are there giving out how to vote cards for PEXA’s responsible Minister at NSW elections, and on the other hand PEXA’s Melbourne lawyers are sending him threatening letters. Some people might see this as a kind of a good-cop bad-cop strategy, but I would not stoop so low.

NSW is a critical state to win for PEXA as both Victoria and Queensland have granted PEXA formal waivers from having to comply with 18a.  NSW is not only the largest property market in Australia it could make life difficult for PEXA if it enforced 18A, or perhaps banned any further price rises until PEXA allowed interoperability. One of the lines of argument that PEXA lobbyists used to bamboozle politicians and bureaucrats is that interoperability (competition) would cause chaos as tens of thousands of property settlements were stuffed up by two different software systems talking to each other. A system crash would turn into a political nightmare PEXA spinners argue as voters blame their elected representatives for undermining the integrity of the property market. This argument is of course complete poppycock. My learned geek friends who use artificial intelligence to build code for Fortune 500 companies reckon it would take less than three months coding to build a system that allowed PEXA and Simpli systems to communicate with each other.

Other influence peddlers on the PEXA teat include former Grattan institute CEO John Daley and Australia's largest lobbying firm TG Public Relations owned by law firm Thompson Gear, the home of ALP luminaries Stephen Conroy and Kim Beazley. TG is so far up the Victoria NSW Labor Party leadership you can barely see the soles of their highly renumerated consultants shoes. 

Also on board the PEXA dark-ops team other quintessential Sydney spinners for hire Sue Cater and Clive Matheson plus Claire Gil the formula Regulatory Affairs Director of the Seven and Nine networks. If there is any State of Federal minister or backbencher interested in property settlements that hasn't been soiled by contact with one of PEXA arm twisters it's because they've been hiding under a rock. PEXA is so confident that is killed off competition completely in its latest market update it wrote off a sum of $14m, the amount it claimed to have spent on the interoperability system. If PEXA accounts are to be believed, interoperability has gone the way of Monty Python's Norwegian blue parrot. Farcically PEXA’s right down announcement included the statement that it would: “continue to engage constructively with regulators”.

The politicians have presided over this mess are now doing what politicians always do when they want to buy time and avoid responsibility. The NSW parliament has called an inquiry which submissions close on September 26. There is talk of reinvigorating the Senate inquiry into the issue of PEXA’s dominance, but a date is yet to be set. PEXA is also busily developing new commercial strategies to defeat Simpli. Even if the states do miraculously enforce interoperability the company is working on a series of add-ons to its systems including anti money laundering module and a real estate agent portal that will render Simpli’s offering obsolete. Long before it attempts to sign up its first customers PEXA has reportedly been working in partnership with Austrac and the AML module. 

If PEXA follows the US tech giant broligarch business model it will eventually have dozens of add on apps and features that will mean anyone in the property industry will need up PEXA terminal on their desk just to stay in business. It's called client capture. Frustrated with four years of going nowhere representative of Simpli's leadership and shareholders have been visiting state government ministers and senior bureaucrats trying to work out the lay of the land. If those meetings revealed that PEXA has the state sewn up they'll probably pull the pin. Neither the ASX nor Chris Beck want to spend the rest of their days investing in a market entry that will never come. 

The Australian share market is betting on the PEXA monopoly being confirmed. PEXA share price is up 25% this year and the company now trades on an EV/EBIT multiple of almost 59 times. Consensus forecasts predicted the companies EBITA margin will grow from 31% this year to just a whisker under 40 % by 2028. As far as the stock market is concerned Simpli and any chance of competition is already dead.


 There must be among our Elites an unwritten Marquis of Queensberry rule that for the PEXA participants goes something like this: “Under no circumstances are retail shareholders, conveyancers, solicitors, members of the public or any other dumb f%&kers out there to have any clue as to what is really going on. It is just the way of the world that us sharks to tear each other to pieces and only a very few of us will emerge on top.  However these shit-fights must always be done so deep down it cannot be seen. And under no circumstances are any participants to ever break the water’s surface.”   

In an odd way it is kinda reassuring to know our politicians past and present, and their fellow travelers are out there doing what they have always done and do best - looking after themselves.  I mean it would be unsettling if we found out any of these pricks actually had the interests of Australia foremost. Like Premier Lang said many years ago: “Always back the horse called self-interest, at least you know it is trying”.

All up, PEXA may well be a very good long-term investment.

lowway
Added 8 months ago

Thanks for this post @Scoonie. I don't doubt any of this article or the ruthless way PEXA has been forced onto the property market, at least from my dealings in Qld.

That said, we then enter the realms of morality versus investment decisions. I've been a holder of PEXA in a roundabout way by initially investing in LinkedIn Group before they were purchased and we were left with PEXA after the original deal with Dye & Durham (from Canada) fell over. BTW Dye & Durham follow similar tactics to PEXA in Ontario with routine price gouging, etc now that they have a virtual monopoly.

Anyway, I still hold $PXA IRL and will take the profits and run at some time in the near future.

Thanks for the article!!

11

lowway
Added 3 weeks ago

Well so much for my post 7 months ago about taking the profit and running in the near future. I'm still holding and had expectations that the inability for the Australian market to create an interoperability model was a huge plus for Pexa, basically giving them a monopoly on conveyancy settlements, etc.

How wrong I was!! The announcement yesterday was as follows:

ASX Announcement: PXA 31 March 2026

ARNECC’s Statement regarding Interoperability Program

Melbourne, Australia - PEXA Group Limited (ASX: PXA) (“PEXA” or “Group”) acknowledges “ARNECC’s Statement on the recent Ministerial Forum: The Future of Competition Reforms in eConveyancing” dated 31 March 2026, in which ARNECC has announced its decision not to proceed with the Interoperability Program at this time. A copy of the Statement can be accessed by clicking on the following link.

PEXA will continue to work with ARNECC and the relevant authorities to improve the existing national network with the aim of achieving greater national consistency and better outcomes for customers and consumers.

This release was authorised by the CEO and Group Managing Director of PEXA Group Limited.

- Ends -

That was followed today by an ASX show cause notice as the share price dropped by up to 20% at opening today!!

What Pexa didn't expand on in its ASX announcement above was the additional information that was contained in the link only in that announcement above. The key parts being:

ARNECC’s position on the interoperability program and next steps

As endorsed by Ministers, ARNECC will not be proceeding with the interoperability reform program at this time. Rather, ARNECC will strengthen the existing eConveyancing national regulatory framework to protect consumers, improve resilience and provide greater certainty for industry participants, building on work that is already underway. This includes strengthening and enhancing its regulatory oversight of Electronic Lodgment Network Operators (ELNOs), including in relation to resilience; monitoring ELNOs’ compliance; strengthening the enforcement framework and taking enforcement action, where appropriate, and continuing to promote national regulatory consistency across State and Territory jurisdictions.

ARNECC’s position on engagement with the Commonwealth Government’s regulatory authorities

Ministers recognised that critical aspects of interoperability, including financial settlement and banking integration, fall within the regulatory jurisdiction of the Commonwealth, as States and Territories do not directly regulate banks and other financial institutions. ARNECC greatly appreciates the support of Ministers to again formally request the Commonwealth Government and its agencies engagement and involvement to deliver improved competition and more effective regulation of the national eConveyancing industry.

ARNECC re-confirms its commitment to work with the Commonwealth Government and its regulatory authorities to address identified regulatory gaps in the national eConveyancing regulatory regime including in the areas of bank financial settlements processes and national competition oversight, and to support future reform where conditions allow. ARNECC remains committed to competition, resilience and consumer protection in Australia’s eConveyancing system.


So why did the SP tank today (IMO and with some help from Gemini)


The drop in PEXA Group Limited (ASX: PXA) shares today is a classic case of the market pricing in a "loss of a positive catalyst" rather than a fundamental failure of the existing business.

While PEXA’s release yesterday framed the ARNECC (Australian Registrars' National Electronic Conveyancing Council) decision as an "acknowledgment," the market is reacting to the fact that a years-long regulatory path toward a more defined and competitive industry structure has been effectively terminated.

Here is the breakdown of why the stock is under pressure today, April 1, 2026:

1. The End of "Interoperability" Certainty

For years, the e-conveyancing market has been in a state of regulatory flux. "Interoperability"—the ability for different platforms like PEXA and its competitor, Sympli, to talk to each other—was seen by some as a threat to PEXA’s dominant 90% market share, but by others as the only way to achieve a "settled" regulatory environment.

  • The Reaction: Now that ARNECC has decided not to proceed with the Interoperability Program, the "rules of the game" for the future are once again uncertain. Investors generally hate uncertainty more than bad news.


2. Failure to Resolve Competitive Tension

The market was hoping for a clear resolution that would allow PEXA to move past the "monopoly" tag that has dogged its valuation.

  • The Risk: Without a formal interoperability framework, there is a renewed risk that regulators (like the ACCC) may seek alternative, potentially more heavy-handed ways to enforce competition.
  • The Cost: PEXA has invested significant time and resources into the technical requirements for interoperability. The cancellation of the program means some of that investment is now "sunk cost" with no immediate regulatory payoff.


3. Increased Regulatory Scrutiny

In the announcement, ARNECC noted they will instead focus on "strengthening the existing national regulatory framework."

  • Market Interpretation: This is often shorthand for increased compliance costs or stricter price monitoring. If the government can't create competition through interoperability, they may lean harder on PEXA’s pricing power to protect consumers.


4. Sentiment Shift (The "Boring" Premium)

PEXA is often valued as a "utility-style" tech stock because of its dominant position.

  • The Logic: Part of its premium was based on the idea that it would lead the transition to a fully interoperable, modern national network. By reverting to "improving the existing network," PEXA looks less like a high-growth reform leader and more like a steady, regulated incumbent.


Summary

The share price drop reflects a valuation adjustment. Investors are stripping out the "reform upside" and replacing it with "regulatory ambiguity." While PEXA remains the dominant player with massive cash flow, the path to further domestic expansion just got a lot more complicated. Seems like (as usual) timing is everything when investing and mine was terrible due to not giving enough consideration to the consequences of failure for the Government to achieve interoperability. Here I was thinking that gives Pexa a massive monopoly (which it already sort of has) when the rest of the market (probably correctly) is now interpreting the lack of ability to move forward as a chance for a price cap on all transactions that are guided via Pexa. I guess time will tell but watch this space closely and expect a lot of volatility going forward. I'll hold IRL for now as I try to better understand the signs and possible ramifications going forward.



12

Randy
Added 2 weeks ago

Hi @lowway

Last week’s aggressive sell-off of Pexa’s announcement (about the property conveyancing regulator pulling the pin on the long-mooted interoperability requirements for PEXA’s systems) also caught my attention, and equally left me somewhat surprised at the market reaction.

While on face value it appears to be a superficially positive announcement (i.e. regulator dropping requirement for an effective monopoly services provider to open up its systems to competitors) – by dropping this requirement in the too hard basket and the State ministers having effectively passed the parcel to the Commonwealth – probably more likely now that we might see some form of coordinated Commonwealth intervention/additional oversight in conveyancing market in next 6-12 months.

I came across this article in The Australian over the weekend, which helps shed some light on the market reaction – as well as the concerns bubbling away in the market over the past 6 months about high staff turnover and what looks like a very ill-considered approach to regulator relations by suing the NSW regulator last year (and could result in them wielding the big stick to teach Pexa a little humility and to remember its place in the pecking order).

Anyways the UBS downgrade wouldn’t have helped (would love to see that broker report if anyone can lay there hands on it) – and all in all I suspect the market is reacting to a perceived greater threat in time to Pexa’s effective monopoly (even though it will enjoy a short-term win with the delay to added competition).

Great business – but also was priced for ongoing effective monopoly – personally I’m now going to see how this all plays out a bit more before entertaining taking a position.

Disc: Not Held (yet) - Strawman and IRL.

***************************************************************************************************************************************

https://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/margin-call/pexa-faces-staff-exodus-as-share-price-plunges-20-per-cent/news-story/14eb1bb17814e1e9d9beabf3a2614beb 

PEXA faces staff exodus as share price plunges 20 per cent

It shouldn’t be that hard to run a monopoly, should it? So what’s going on at PEXA, where senior staff are leaving in droves and the share price is tanking.

Thursday’s review of sharemarket operator Australian Securities Exchange by ASIC should be a salutary lesson in what happens when you start taking your monopoly position for granted, squeezing ageing assets for cash and forget to reinvest in the core business.

But is it a lesson lost on other players in a similar position?

For those that don’t know, PEXA is the only serious player in Australia’s electronic conveyancing market.

A dubious deal stitched up by the states more than a decade ago, has given it the right to clip the ticket on pretty much every property transaction in the country.

PEXA has successfully defended that monopoly status ever since.

So this week PEXA boss Russell Cohen and his team – most notably regulatory and corporate affairs boss Clare Gill – would have been popping the champagne corks at Monday’s news that its main regulator had abandoned efforts to make PEXA open up its systems to competitors.

State government ministers, advised by the Australian Registrars’ National Electronic Conveyancing Council (ARNECC) – stuck the issue of interoperability into the too hard basket, effectively locking in PEXA’s monopoly for the foreseeable future.

And yet PEXA’s stock price tanked after the decision, down more than 20 per cent for the week.

Perhaps there’s a bit more going on behind the scenes … Including an exodus of senior staff.

This year alone PEXA has lost strategy and delivery general manager Kate Camilleri, general manager of risk Kate MacFarlan, technology boss Katy Rowett, head of group experience and design Sarah Dinsmore and regulatory general manager Damien Manuel.

Add to that the departure of chief people officer Sabina Popov, and senior legal counsel Joanna Downes.

And Margin Call hears that another senior lawyer, Catherine Lynch, is the latest to take another job and leave the electronic conveyancing giant.

And then there’s the bizarre situation of the CFO that wasn’t, after Webjet finance boss Tony Ristevski agreed to jump ship to PEXA, and then decided he’d rather not.

That’s a whole swath of senior departures.

A booming Aussie housing market has helped PEXA grow. Picture: AFP

A booming Aussie housing market has helped PEXA grow. Picture: AFP

PEXA doesn’t think it’s anything out of the ordinary, though.

Cohen was brought in a year ago from Singaporean technology company Grab, and some management churn is to be expected after a new boss takes over.

Then there’s the company’s cancellation of generous Covid-era benefits – access to 12 additional days off a year has been cut back, for example, and return-to-office orders – have also helped put some staff off-side, the company says.

“We consider the team member turnover rate to be normal and consistent over that period of time for a business the size of PEXA,” a spokesman told Margin Call.

“Our employee value proposition is focused clearly on career growth, learning and performance and connected to customer impact.”

Sure.

But the raft of departures from PEXA’s regulatory affairs and legal team suggests the culture clash with Cohen’s leadership runs a little deeper than just legacy Covid-era workplace benefits.

Running a state-sanctioned monopoly is a delicate business.

It might be a licence to print money, but every rent seeker still needs to maintain a good relationship with the regulators, or that gets a lot more fraught.

PEXA doesn’t think the exodus is anything extraordinary.

PEXA doesn’t think the exodus is anything extraordinary.

And those relationships took a downturn late last year, when PEXA launched legal action against the NSW Registrar General over its refusal to let the monopoly pass on a $1 per transaction fee to customers levied by the National Electronic Conveyancing Data Standards – which is, in turn owned by the states land title registrars.

Signalling that it didn’t want to pay the fee for any of the rest of the nation’s transactions while NSW was stalling probably didn’t help much either.

PEXA might have held off the threat of having to open up its systems to competitors, but its stock tumbled this week after NSW pricing regulator IPART signalled it was considering taking a far tougher line on regulating PEXA’s fees than it has in the past.

That IPART review has a long way to go, and the conveyancer was playing down the likely impact on Thursday.

But as UBS analysts noted this week, in downgrading their recommendation on PEXA stock, maintaining monopoly status simply opens the door to tougher pricing regulation.

Nick Evans

Nick Evans Margin Call Columnist and Resource Writer

8

lowway
Added 2 weeks ago

Thanks for the summary and confirmation of what I had been seeing with Pexa last week @Randy.

I also tried to access the UBS report and downgrade, but the best I could do was get some summaries from Chatty below:

From ChatGPT

I couldn’t find a publicly accessible full UBS report PDF on PEXA Group (those are typically behind paywalls like UBS Evidence Lab / broker portals), but I did track down the key contents of the latest UBS downgrade note and revisions from multiple reliable summaries.

Here’s the distilled version of what UBS actually changed ????

???? UBS downgrade (latest update – early April 2026)

Rating: Buy ➝ Neutral

Price target: $17.50 ➝ $15.70 �

Stocks Down Under +1

Triggered an immediate ~15–16% share price drop �

Stocks Down Under +1

???? What UBS actually said (core thesis)


1) Regulatory risk is now the dominant issue

The key concern is a NSW pricing review (IPART) into e-conveyancing fees �

Potential outcome:

→ Fee caps based on “efficient costs”

→ Direct pressure on margins in PEXA’s core Australian exchange business �

UBS essentially shifted the narrative from:

“strong monopoly + growth”

to

“regulated utility with uncertain returns”

2) “Double-edged” regulatory update

UBS highlighted two simultaneous developments:

Positive:

Regulators won’t force interoperability (i.e., no need to open the platform to competitors)

Negative (more important):

Possible fee regulation → long-term earnings risk �

Stocks Down Under

???? UBS views the second as the bigger valuation driver.

3) Earnings visibility downgraded

No operational miss

No change to market dominance (~90% share still intact) �

Stocks Down Under

But:

Future earnings now harder to predict

Regulatory outcomes = key swing factor

4) Timeline matters (key catalyst)

Draft IPART report: expected ~June 2026

Final report: ~September 2026 �

???? UBS is basically saying: uncertainty persists until at least mid-year

???? Subtle but important nuance (often missed)

This wasn’t a “sell” call.

Even after the downgrade:

UBS PT ($15.70) was still above the post-selloff price

Implies some upside remains, but not enough to justify a Buy rating �

Stocks Down Under

So the real shift is:

❌ Not “PEXA is broken”

✅ “Risk/reward is now balanced due to regulation”

???? What changed vs prior UBS view

Previously UBS was underwriting:

Pricing power

Margin expansion

Regulatory stability

Now they’re assuming:

Regulated returns scenario

Lower long-term margin certainty

Higher risk premium → lower valuation multiple

???? Bottom line

UBS didn’t downgrade because of:

Earnings miss ❌

Competitive threat ❌

They downgraded because of:

Regulatory risk to pricing power ✅

Uncertainty around fee caps in NSW ✅

That’s a structural shift, not a cyclical one.

9