Pinned straw:
Some interesting commentary on Hipages Group from Investors Mutual in the AFR yesterday:
Which stock in your fund has the most near-term upside?
Hipages Group is Australia’s largest platform for trade services, connecting homeowners and trades people in a more efficient manner. Strong network effects are driving more consumers to post jobs on Hipages because that’s where the tradies are, while tradies subscribe to find the jobs. As we have seen with Carsales, Seek and REA Group, online marketplaces are typically a winner-takes-all proposition and Hipages is well on its way to being the dominant platform for the trades sector.
The founder-led company has now passed the critical inflection point of generating sustainable cash flow while still growing its top line at double digits, notably guiding to 50 per cent growth in free cash flow in the current financial year. As seen with recent success stories like Catapult and Life360, reaching cash flow breakeven is often a watershed moment for small cap tech stocks.
Hipages’ guidance for the 2026 financial year implies a roughly 15 times price-to-free cash flow multiple, very reasonable for such a fast-growing and dominant business.