Forum Topics NAN NAN Financials

Pinned straw:

Added 3 months ago

Thanks to Gemini for assistance to review the financials released today from Nanosonics!!

Nanosonics 2025 Full-Year Financial Results:

Based on the company's full-year financial report for the period ending June 30, 2025, Nanosonics delivered a strong financial performance, though some key metrics warrant a closer look.


Key Financial Highlights (Pros)

The report demonstrates several positive trends:

  • Strong Revenue and Profit Growth: Total revenue for the year reached $198.6 million, marking a significant 17% increase compared to the previous year. This growth led to an even more impressive boost in profitability, with Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) soaring by 95% to $17.8 million, and profit before tax increasing by 72% to $22.3 million.
  • Robust Business Model: A key driver of this success is the company's scalable business model. The cumulative installed base of its flagship product, the trophon, grew by 6% to 37,000 devices. This expansion fueled a 20% increase in "recurring revenue" from consumables and services, which reached $146.1 million.
  • Strategic Product Development: Nanosonics achieved critical milestones by securing US FDA clearance for its next-generation trophon technology and a new system called CORIS. These regulatory successes are expected to be catalysts for future growth, enabling the company to expand its product portfolio and revenue streams.
  • Healthy Balance Sheet: The company maintains a strong financial position, with a positive cash flow of $32 million and a cash and cash equivalents balance of $161.6 million. The company reports having no debt, which provides financial stability and flexibility for future investments.

Areas of Concern (Cons)

While the report is largely positive, a deeper analysis of certain metrics reveals potential risks and challenges:

  • High Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: The company's P/E ratio stands at 73.32, which is exceptionally high. This metric indicates that the market has very high expectations for Nanosonics' future earnings growth. While a high P/E ratio signals strong investor confidence, it also makes the stock price highly sensitive to any failure to meet these growth expectations. If the company's profit growth slows down, the stock could experience a significant correction.
  • Low Return on Equity (ROE): The company's Return on Equity (ROE) is 8.8%, which is considered low and falls below the medical equipment industry average of 9.9%. This suggests that Nanosonics is not as efficient as its peers in generating profits from the capital invested by its shareholders. While the company is profitable, the low ROE raises questions about its capital management and its ability to generate superior returns for its investors.
  • Future Gross Margin Pressure: The company's guidance for the next fiscal year projects a gross margin of 75-77%, a slight decrease from the 78.5% margin reported in the first half of the 2025 fiscal year. This could indicate potential cost pressures or changes in product mix that may impact overall profitability.
  • No Dividends: Nanosonics does not pay dividends. This means that shareholder returns are entirely reliant on the appreciation of the company's share price, which can be volatile, especially for a stock with a high P/E ratio.


Overall Impact on Shareholders

The Nanosonics 2025 full-year report presents a mixed but generally positive picture for shareholders. The company's robust financial performance, driven by a scalable business model and key product launches, has been well-received by the market. This is evidenced by a recent 7.4% stock price gain and a 29% one-year return on investment.

The high level of institutional ownership (63%) and insider ownership (15%) suggests strong confidence from both professional investors and company leadership. However, the high concentration of institutional ownership also means the stock price is sensitive to large-scale trading activities. Ultimately, the company's value for shareholders will depend on its ability to sustain its high growth trajectory and improve its efficiency, thereby justifying its premium valuation and addressing the concerns raised by its relatively low ROE.


DrJP
Added 3 months ago

I have been having a look at NAN today for the first time, so take this with a pinch of salt.


This looks like a classic razor-and-blades model, with a large percentage of revenue coming from high-margin consumables and servicing, as well as upgrading and maintaining their machines over time. They’ve only rolled out one machine commercially so far (Trophon), and it’s been mainly concentrated in the US (~32k out of 37k units sold worldwide).

The core Trophon business is now mature in the US and is defensive, high-margin, and probably only low single-digit growth going forward, even with the untapped markets in Asia and Europe. (In their FY25 annual report they literally describe Trophon as their “established platform” and “core recurring revenue engine.”) Even if they sold no new units, they’d still likely do ~$150m+ revenue at >75% gross margins, which makes for a very solid cash-generating base.

Nanosonics is now clearly positioning CORIS as its main growth engine, while treating Trophon as the cash cow. This likely explains their low ROE, as they are heavily investing in a product they can’t sell yet (well they can but they are waiting for broader FDA approvals). For context, Trophon development started in 2001 and the first sales weren’t until 2010 so this might still take time, with the company projecting 2026 for commercialisation. CORIS has a much larger TAM, and the FY25 report explicitly says:

“CORIS represents the company’s next major growth platform” and

“a transformational market opportunity… significantly larger than ultrasound probe disinfection.”

This probably explains why the market is comfortable giving NAN such a high PE. They’ve already built a new US manufacturing facility and are recruiting a dedicated CORIS commercial team in Europe, Australia and the US. With ~$160m cash on hand, no debt, and positive cashflow, it seems unlikely they’ll need to raise capital or take on debt to launch CORIS.

While the valuation leaves little margin for error, the company does appear well set up to succeed if they can navigate the FDA process. And given they’ve already done this with Trophon, you’d think they have the experience to pull it off. It’s not a screaming bargain, but if they maintain the current multiple, Trophon keeps funding the business, and CORIS delivers anywhere near the TAM they suggest, a share price of $10–15 by 2028 isn’t hard to imagine.

$4 to $15 by 2028 is a CAGR of ~50%.

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