Forum Topics GOLD GOLD Bull Case

Pinned straw:

Added 2 months ago

Came across this interesting chat (source here)

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Here gold on its own

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Hindsight is 20-20, but really wish I'd bought more of this on SM.

Thinking of upping the weighting actually...but hoping some Straw people can talk me back from the ledge.

There's an inner voice that is saying "you're over thinking the "debasement trade".. besides, macro musings may be fun but they are extremely difficult to trade...it's already gone up a lot anyway..its just a lump of largely unproductive metal... And you've never been a fan of gold .. and you're probably just letting this stupid Bitcoin obsession tarnish your thinking... And how many eggs do you really need in the hard money basket anyway.. .and so on, and so forth..

Is the inner voice right? Give it to me straight -- I can take it!

lastever
Added 2 months ago

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h_k452hotzE

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Great interview with a gold enthusiast. Bit ominous regarding China - he suggests China is both the largest producer and owner of gold (despite lying about this). Gordon Brown sounds like the worlds official biggest moron.

You'll be pleased@Strawman that he likes both gold and magic internet money.

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Strawman
Added 2 months ago

A lot of contenders for that title @lastever, but Brown's selling of the UKs gold at US$275/Oz certainly puts him in the running, as does his claim that the world had moved beyond economic booms and busts.

As I've mentioned elsewhere, we should be careful not to laugh too hard. Our leaders store our strategic gold and oil reserves on the other side of the world.. doesn't make it too "strategic" to my mind.

Re the magic beans, I had something of a win on the weekend in (finally) convincing my Dad and brother to take an allocation. Both are extremely conservative investors, so it wasn't easy!

I think they mostly did it just to shut me up, lol

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BigStrawbs70
Added 2 months ago

I have similar thoughts to you @Strawman

Bitcoin is also my play for sound money and a hedge against the failing and lack of trust in the American dollar, not to mention getting on board with the key asset for the new financial systems we are transitioning into. As you say, hindsight is a great thing, and looking back, when Biden weaponised the dollar (I know there are other reasons for the gold increase), it should have been a signal that central banks in a number of countries would pivot to Gold and demand would subsequently increase.

Anyhow, for now, I will keep DCA'ing into Bitcoin and try to reconcile with myself that even with the recent drops in Bitcoin and the record highs in Gold, Bitcoin is still outperforming its physical cousin by a very material margin, and that is before governments, banks, and even most companies start to get on board.

To confirm, no, I am not having a go at Gold investors here. I'm just trying to convince myself I am on the 'right side' of the debate, noting my extreme self-interest to hold that view and, as you say, trying to ignore my inner voice saying, "Just grab a bit of Gold... it can't hurt!"

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Clio
Added 2 months ago

@BigStrawbs70 - I totally get the trying to be convinced you're on the right side, but for me, I'm on the other side of that stream. I've got the gold - now I'm steeling myself, stiffening the backbone, giving myself the pep talks, etc. to get into Bitcoin as well. Almost there, and your idea of DCAing into it might just get me over the line. I generally don't DCA, so it simply hadn't occurred to me as a means of muting the uncertainty/nervousness factor.

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Bear77
Added 2 months ago

I tried a few years ago to add either this one or QAU - however there was no pricing data, hence no graph, so the buys did not go through here at that time - coz one or the other was one of those ETPs that S&P did not provide data for @Strawman - you could buy it in real life, but not here. I see that has changed. @Rapstar has held GOLD since 2022 so it's clearly been available here for at least that long. Options here for gold bullion ETFs/ETPs now include GOLD, NUGG and QAU (which is currency hedged), but PMGOLD is still not available, and PMGOLD would be my real life choice for gold bullion exposure because it is backed by the WA Government and run by the Perth Mint (the PM in the name) and they allow holders to exchange their units for take-home physical gold bullion on request. It also has one of the lowest management fees, I think there is only one that is lower (can't remember which one and too tired to check tonight). Anyway, gold bullion is a good option for people who want gold exposure but don't care to do the company research to get that leveraged play through a gold company that owns a lot of underground gold and is producing it profitably.

In the past 10 years the gold price has mostly outperformed gold company indices like GDX and GDXJ (the junior goldies) so gold bullion ETFs have done better most years than most gold companies, and a lot of that has been due to poor capital allocation decisions by many gold company management teams so they destroyed value instead of creating it, but right now we're in one of those rare periods where the better gold companies are running well ahead of the gold price and really outperforming gold bullion ETFs, and that has recently trickled down as far as the junior developers - and even the explorers are getting some love. It won't last forever, so for a 50 year hold, perhaps a gold bullion ETF will likely produce better TSRs than a basket of gold companies, but right now - and this calendar year - the gold companies have been the place to be.

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edgescape
Added 2 months ago

They should do a ETF with silver and gold.

Silver is also melting up lately

Then again I think there is but will have to check.

Meanwhile my small pile of 1946 silver florin (20c coins in decimal value) that I inherited from my Dad has quietly doubled in value. Never thought I could ever see the day they can sell at 8 dollars but it has just happened. At the time I got these I said I would probably have to hand them to the bank and get them at face value.

20c to 8 dollars. Crazy times

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