Forum Topics HZR HZR Deep Dive - 1, Business, Tech

Pinned straw:

Last edited a month ago

Discl: Held IRL 0.67% and in SM

Part 1 of a few parts as I deep dived on HZR.

SUMMARY

HZR owns the IP to the Hazer Process and is developing and commercialising this technology

The Hazer process is a low-emission method for producing hydrogen and graphite from natural gas or biogas. It uses a low-cost iron ore catalyst to crack methane into hydrogen gas and solid, high-quality graphite. This process offers a cleaner alternative to traditional hydrogen production by capturing the carbon as a valuable solid product instead of releasing it as carbon dioxide.

There are significant benefits to the Hazer Process vs the current dominant Steam Methane Reforming (SMR) method of producing hydrogen - zero carbon emission, low energy requirement, no requirement for carbon capture storage, valuable carbon graphite co-product which can be monetised

The Hazer Process is categorised as a “methane pyrolysis” method of producing hydrogen

Other companies have developed variations of the methane pyrolysis method, but the Hazer process is differentiated by the following advantages: (1) the use of Iron Ore as a catalyst (2) creates high quality Graphite Carbon as a co-product (3) avoids need for carbon capture storage (4) low electricity cost

The choice of which methane pyrolysis methods for a given plant/site will depend on several factors, including (1) energy source & footprint (2) scale & deployment model (3) carbon product quality

The focus in the past few years has been to build the Commercial Demonstration Plant (CDP) in Munster, WA, which has been fully operational since Nov 2024 - this was a key milestone to demonstrate the commercial readiness of the Hazer Process technology

WHAT IS ATTRACTIVE

The Hazer process has huge technology advantages over current methods of producing hydrogen, including other alternative methane-pyrolysis approaches

Hard yards to scale up and prove the Hazer process has already been done - the technology appears to be ready for scale-up and commercialisation

This is feeling very much like C79, minus the Capex spend on the Photon Assay machines - the Hazer technology is set to disrupt the current dirty method of producing hydrogen by offering a more efficient and clean approach, with the economic benefit of high quality carbon graphite as a co-product which can be monetised

A. BUSINESS MODEL

Has IP rights to a technology developed a The University of Western Australia which allows the production of hydrogen gas from methane (natural gas) with negligible carbon dioxide emissions and the co-production of a high purity graphite product (the “Hazer Process”)

Business model is focused on scaling-up and commercialising the Hazer Process so as to supply hydrogen gas and high purity bulk graphite to the significant global hydrogen and graphite markets.

B. HAZER’S MISSION

Our mission is to play a significant role across three multi-billion dollar global markets. Hazer Group’s technology can potentially provide an innovative solution for the global industrial hydrogen market, by producing hydrogen at lower cost than alternative options, while also reducing users’ CO2 footprint.

The low-emissions associated with the HAZER Process also potentially provides a gateway for hydrogen to more effectively penetrate the sustainable energy market for both vehicle fuel and stationary power applications. Hazer is also looking to provide high quality synthetic graphite for energy storage and other large global graphite applications.

C. THE HAZER PROCESS

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The Hazer process is a low-emission method for producing hydrogen and graphite from natural gas or biogas. 

It uses a low-cost iron ore catalyst to crack methane into hydrogen gas and solid, high-quality graphite. 

This process offers a cleaner alternative to traditional hydrogen production by capturing the carbon as a valuable solid product instead of releasing it as carbon dioxide.

HAZER’S DISRUPTIVE ADVANTAGE - METHANE PYROLYSIS METHOD vs INCUMBENT SMR TECHNOLOGY

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The Methane Pyrolysis technology method has very clear economic benefits over the current Steam Methane Reforming (SMR) method BUT HZR is not the only company with technology in the Methane Pyrolysis space.

Slideup
Added a month ago

@jcmleng interesting information on Hazer, one thing that jumped out at me from your write up is that a lot of the market comparisons are around other processes to make hydrogen, the problem though is that the hydrogen market doesn't really exist in terms of a commodity level fuel. It might be worth exploring at what cost of production the hazer process would need to produce hydrogen to outcompete/displace existing fuel types.

From some of the slides it looks like some of the cost difference the green/blue hydrogen is that they are located onsite such that the hydrogen is used where it is produced, this is a bonus except that you are now limited to sites that have access to a source of cost effective natural gas/methane waste stream.

How does the graphite fit into the business model? Are either graphite or hydrogen expected to be able to support production costs alone, with the other being a free kick effectively or are both required to find market homes for Hazer to get to be cash flow positive on operations?

This isn't to throw water on your write up, more just questions that popped up to me, in a company that I admittedly know very little about.

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jcmleng
Added a month ago

@Slideup, all good questions! Still have some ways to go to wrap my head fully around the business, so don't have answers, but have some raw and highly simplistic opinions.

Re: hydrogen displacing existing fuel types. No sure how I would explore that to get some "definitive" cost of production numbers. My simplistic thought at this stage is that there will be continued and increasing pressure around carbon emissions that will "force" governments and businesses to seriously explore and get on with turqoise hydrogen to get down to zero carbon emissions. My thesis is predicated on this pressure intensifying in the coming years, making the Hazer process more valuable as time goes by.

Re: sites limitations. Yes, agree. Choice of technology is one thing, but other environmental matters like feedstock availability, energy source, nearby need for H2 etc, will also drive feasibility. No different from any other plant setup considerations, it would seem. Which is why HZR's marketing efforts are focused on mostly LNG producing regions (that comes out more clearly in the opportunity map). The CDP in WA also brought to life how the process could be value adding in areas where methane is produced as a by product - there will be increasing pressure for these companies to act and reduce carbon emmissions I suspect.

Re: Graphite. This is the kicker I think. A clear differentiator is that a co-product of the Hazer process is carbon graphite. This is looking to be increasingly valuable, particularly after the rare earths spat with China. This co-product is pure upside to recover/reduce the cost of the H2 production. As I understand it, the other Methane Pyrolysis methods produce carbon black/carbon solids which, at face value, have some value, but at the lower end of the value chain. This graphite co-product upside is another thing that was attractive to me.

The graphite upside makes the HZR process more valuable to customers, which makes licensing the HZR process more attractive. As I understand it, the graphite upside should go straight back to the customer, not HZR, who only earn revenue from licensing the IP.

Still many more areas to work through, but exploring HZR has really helped open up a bit more of the "green world" for me which has been very interesting to explore ...

Collecting a bunch of questions which I will post in the Slido for the HZR chat that @Strawman has lined up for late Nov.

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Longpar5
Added a month ago

@jcmleng ,@Slideup great posts. I think CEO Glenn Corrie would argue that there is already a large global hydrogen market (he's right) and that Hazer is well placed to start making inroads.

I've held Hazer for a couple of years now because I believe it can fill a big gap for hydrogen users in ammonia production (fertiliser, explosives) and refining. Both of these massive industries use SMR to turn natural gas to hydrogen and simply vent the CO2. In countries like Australia and the EU where a carbon price already exists, there's incentive to upgrade to a hazer like process, especially if the graphite helps push the economics over the line. Other countries like Japan and Korea are heading this way and I think will help their industrials with grants to implement clean hydrogen. Unfortunately for Hazer, refinery economics are such that they're not really positioned to spend large amounts of capex to replace functioning SMR plant in old facilities, and there aren't new refineries being built in the western world where carbon price is a thing. I think new ammonia facilities should still be popping up for a while yet......the people gotta eat! There's a new fertiliser facility (perdaman) being built near Pt Hedland that will take gas from Woodside's Scarborough project. It will face millions of dollars per year penalties for its carbon emissions under the safeguard mechanism....I'd love to understand why Hazer isn't part of their plans.

To me the convenience of the Hazer process is hard to beat. These industrial facilities already have the gas supply, they already use the hydrogen, simply insert Hazer instead of old SMR process and you have cleaned up your product significantly. It just has to have sufficient economic incentive, which i think still needs govt support in most cases.

For Hazer to progress beyond grant supported installations and really gain scale, carbon prices and graphite prices will need to offset the extra cost of building and running the process. For me this is the 10 or 20 bagger scenario that could occur, even if its a while off. However I still believe Hazer can grow significantly on grant funded or loss leading trials for hydrogen users in the meantime.


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