Pinned straw:
No - I don't think you're being too cynical @Rocket6 - except I reckon that it's more a bit of both - but more about less headwinds for MIN now - even though the danger of a lower iron ore price over the next few years remains very real - see this for some excellent history and future production projections of Simandou and other African iron ore projects: https://www.afr.com/interactive-freeview/2025/african-iron-ore/ - It's free to access, but I have put it all in a straw here today: #Simandou Impact on WA Iron Ore for Fortescue Ltd - looks like you have to scroll past my very long "Val" for FMG to get to that straw, or you can access it from here also - I put it all in a straw in case the AFR decide to put it behind a paywall later. It certainly seemed to be free to the public today so I regard it as being in the public domain.
I agree with you that Chris Ellison is far from "reigned in" by improved governance from a stronger Board; If anything he now has even more control and less people prepared to cross him in the Boardroom. Perhaps AustralianSuper is hoping that Chris has decided all by himself to pull his head in and not do anything stupid in the near to mid term that is going to drag the poor-corporate-behaviour spotlight back onto him and MinRes - he's surely rich enough already, and it's in his own interests for the MIN SP to continue to recover - so his stake in the company will be worth more. He might also be concerned about his legacy - and will want to go out on a high rather than another low, although probably not any time soon.
I'm still not interested in buying back into MIN myself because my reasons for exiting all remain; the situation there hasn't improved, only the share price has improved, and the Onslow Haul Road trucking data (tonnes moved per month) has certainly exceeded my expectations. But there's still plenty of risks there IMO.
The AustralianSuper U-turn on MIN is surprising, but likely proves that it wasn't all about an "ethical" viewpoint on their part, but rather more about using that as an excuse to cut their losses, as they saw it at the time, as you suggest @Rocket6 - and they've ended up losing substantial money as a result considering they sold out at lower levels and bought back at significantly higher ones.