Pinned straw:
Thanks @Goldfish
Have been enjoying your updates as they come in - have been some good ones and keep them coming!
Was buying before the last full year announcement call and then SP shot up a bit, almost getting to 50cents - I tried to sell out again at that point but found difficult to sell allotment without big gap downs in orders, so am riding it the way down and almost back to where I started. It is very interesting the cap raise (the media partnership not so surprising) and like you, I was a bit disappointed when they have kept such a clean balance sheet. Obviously, we don't like dilution but like you allude to, big opportunity if the metrics play out like they do in Australia (which they do the UK and appear to be in America)
I do really wonder what they are seeing that is getting them to accelerate into the US. For a tech company I find them very "slow and steady", not overleveraging and just deliver steady growth, period after period (I have said before, the SP can often not move when they report). I think it's just more of the same; methodical growth to the next big city, then the next across America and the UK. This is more "risk on" which I suggest is perhaps what they need a bit more of.
I noticed Tim seemed genuinely excited and happy with how things were going in the last call and expect it might be the same at the upcoming investor day in Sydney. I have some work to do updating my model (with all these deals, not the dilution, it is getting more and more complex to come up with a value). Once that is done, I will be trying to find some more funds to top up before next week, anywhere under 0.30cents.
After your recent posts, did you end up investing in RL or still considering ?