Forum Topics HIT HIT 1HFY26 - Not so Robust!

Pinned straw:

Added 2 months ago

The AGM on Friday gave us a peek beneath the sheets on 1HFY26 and it summarizes as follows:

Expect revenue to be up slightly (they used the word 'positive' against comps)

Margins, however, are under the pump, + they have to put additional $$$ into upskilling and systems in preparation for renewed activity in key areas once the Federal Government budget is established in December.

The current cash balance is a good indicator of their profitability for the half. It's now at $10m, so up some $300k from FY25 + they have paid out some $2.1m in dividends - so expect 1HFY26 NPAT at around $2.5m

A tad disappointing, but still a good grossed-up dividend flow.

Wini
Added 2 months ago

@PortfolioPlus some pretty poor disclosure here from HIT. Their gross margins had a massive spike in FY24 to 20% (from 15% in FY23), and there was no good explanation how they had suddenly offset declining revenue with substantially higher margins. Are these headwinds in the AGM update just a normalisation back to long term margins?

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PortfolioPlus
Added 2 months ago

Yes, @Wini, I do agree. This is a heavily concentrated family company masquerading as a Public Company - why they don't take it public, I don't know.

The maintenance costs of listing and public scrutiny, plus the apparent lack of need for capital, suggest they would be far better off flying below the radar in these more challenging, higher-competition times for the recruitment industry.

This, of course, gives them some leverage to 'shift the furniture' to suit themselves within reason. Obviously, they want to present a rosy picture of consistency and reliability, and they have done so for quite a number of years. I've got my eye on that suspicious build-up in debtors at the end of FY25... some $3.5m above normal.

Was this a bringing forward of revenue and profits to square away a better, more consistent FY25, in which case 1HFY26 will be the sufferer? If not, 1HFY26 cash flows should actually be higher than the $10m they are claiming as their debtors normalize—something to keep an eye on when the 1H results are out.

The additional competition will lead to sharpened pencils and lower margins. Everyone wants to chase the Tech sector for its growth potential, and the recruitment industry is no different.

My thought was that HIT, because of its strong government connections, would get some form of preference as the 'propeller heads' workforce required in defense and cybersecurity grows. This extra revenue at a lower margin would still give them a good NPAT, eps, and dividend flow (which is of interest to me and my SMSF). Indeed, if the number of ads on its website correlates with revenue, then revenue should increase in 1HFY26; but, as above, margins are the issue as well as the extra costs of doing business.

And given that my career days are over, I can assure you that lack of interest/drive does occur, and a level of comfort takes over. I wonder what Ray's thoughts are here?


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