Hi @shaven, I do not follow TMR, as they are a tiny $17m NT copper explorer who have pivoted to gold/copper exploration in Ecuador (South America) and British Columbia (Canada, North America). They have had some drilling success and there is plenty of nearology there as well, which is a tongue-in-cheek way of saying that they are inferring that they have great tenements based on their proximity to succesful mining operations owned by other companies, i.e. they have good land because they are close to great land.
I have seen it all before. They might make it to the big time but the odds are certainly stacked against them. The majority of companies in their position eventually go broke. Some get taken out by a bigger player if they find enough gold, and that could be positive for shareholders but that also depends on how much the shareholders have been diluted by capital raisings before the takeover happens. Takeovers are usually priced at a premium to the last traded price, but not necessarily a premium to the price you've paid for those shares, especially if some years have passed between the two events. Remember that companies that are explorers or project developers do not usually have any income except from capital raisings or from selling assets, and they still have plenty of bills to pay, including their directors' fees and employee wages/executive salaries, drilling costs, tenement maintenance and fees, ASX listing fees and compliance costs, and plenty more. The more they drill, the more it costs them, so you'd want to be very confident to go the journey with such a company. There are hundreds of these companies, and the vast majority do not ever make money from mining anything - that's the sad truth of it. This one might be that one in 20 or 30 that does well, but I don't see anything that would make me think that they are.
I do not recognise the names of their board members. Their Chairman is an ex-investment banker (with Citigroup), who also worked for Ivanhoe Mines subsidiary SouthGobi Resources and in the uranium industry. He is also the Chairman of Argosy Minerals (AGY) - who are focussed on lithium. Another director has previously worked for Rio Tinto, Kennecott Australia, Freeport McMoran Indonesia, Union Carbide, Norilsk Nickel and Ivanhoe Mines. Another one worked for Yamana Gold (in administration) and Itafos, who are described as a US and Brazilian focused vertically integrated phosphate miner and fertilizer producer.
Another director, JONATHAN SHELLABEAR, does have some relevant gold industry experience, "...having worked as a geologist, resources analyst, corporate executive and investment banker with NM Rothschild & Sons, Deutsche Bank and Resource Finance Corporation. Mr. Shellabear was previously the Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of Dominion Mining Limited, which was acquired by Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd in February 2011 to create, at that time, the second largest Australian listed gold company by market capitalisation. He has also held senior corporate roles with Portman Limited (now Cliffs Natural Resources) as General Manager, Business Development and Heron Resources as Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer. Most recently, he served as Chief Financial Officer of Capricorn Metals Limited. Mr. Shellabear has extensive capital markets and advisory experience and has advised on numerous public market transactions to companies. Furthermore, he is an accomplished and respected gold industry senior executive with extensive knowledge across technical, commercial and financial disciplines."
Sounds OK, but have a look at the 10-year (or preferably longer) chart of HRR (Heron Resources) where Jono was the MD & CEO up until 11-Oct-2012. Not pretty at all. Also, during his time as CFO of CMM (Capricorn Metals) for three years up until 08-Mar-2019, the SP of CMM dropped -47% from 72 cps to 38 cps. I can't say too much about Dominion Mining except that the company that bought it, Kingsgate (KCN) peaked at $11.04/share in September 2010 and are now trading at 82.5 cps (cents per share). In KCN's case however, the majority of that decline is to do with the demise of their Chatree gold mine in Thailand, not the Challenger gold mine that came with the Dominion Mining acquisition. Kingsgate took over Challenger from Dominion in 2011, sold it to WPG Resources in 2015, and WPG appointed voluntary administrators, then receivers and managers in July and August 2018, which resulted in mining being stopped and the mine being put on care and maintenance (i.e. it was mothballed).
I would summarise that by saying that while these guys have impressive CV's at first glance, digging a little deeper reveals little in the way of track records of value creation in gold mining, with the exception of Jon Shellabear's Dominion Mining run up until 2011, i.e. 10 years ago. However they have a 5 member board, probably a little too many for a $17m explorer and wanna-be-developer. They spent $95.9K on Directors and employees benefits during the March 2021 quarter. Their total expenses came to $723K of which their biggest expense was $314K on advertising and marketing! What?! Their total loss for the quarter, after allowing for foreign exchange adjustments was $720K. And they finished that quarter with less than $1m in the bank. Little wonder they raised $1.9m in May, which was via a placement - so diluted ordinary retail investors. On 25-Jun-2021 they also informed the ASX that they intended to issue another 1,232,000 shares in August as "Consideration for public relation services". Not sure why all this public relations, advertising and marketing needs to be done, seeing as they are not mining anything yet. Perhaps it's all just to try to raise their profile so they can raise even more money.
I know I sound cynical, but that's just because I've lost plenty of money on companies like this myself when I was younger and not as experienced as I am now. Anyway, hope they turn out well for you @shaven, but they're not for me. And I dislike the BNPL industry myself, so am not interested in Zip (Z1P) - but click here and you'll find plenty of content on them.
[posted on 06-July-2021]