Pinned straw:
Great substack summary once again @JPPicard
On market and competition, I note the comment about $PME having breast density in their platform, and I am mindful about the "your product is my feature" challenge.
However, focusing on the USA, the medical imaging software market size is c. $3bn, with most of it still being the software of the big instrument manufacturers. $PME has sales consensus for FY23 at $120m and growing rapidly, and so one has to assume their breast density function is a very small percentage of that vs. $32m $VHT forecast sales.
With over 35% of US breast images going through $VHT software at some stage, and a vast body of peer-reviewed literature supporting it, as well as several review studies showing that it is the leading product from a software perspective (sorry, don''t have the reference to hand but this was promoted 2-3 years ago by Ralph Higham), the questions facing $VHT are:
Since Terri has been onboard, there has been tangible delivery on all three issues - Ralph didn't seem to make any progress on item 3., which is why I gave up, because it was starting to look like a "growth without profit" story.
In the FY, I don't expect any surprises, as we've had the $4Cs. The only upside from my perspective would be updates on more recent deals (if any) and a view on what FY24 is shaping up to be.
Q1FY24 has been signalled as CF negative due to staff incentive payments, so this year I am tracking Q-o-Q revenue/receipts as evidence of sustained top-line momentum (competitiveness), cashflow in Q2FY24 and Q3FY24, and ARPU in the FY result versus FY22 and at 1HFY24, and expense/sales progression by half.
Disc: Held in RL and SM