Forum Topics TNT TNT Financials

Pinned straw:

Added 2 years ago

Had a quick look at the financials and on the slumping s/p it may be a buy soon (6.6c at time of writing).

December qtr cash flow shows about $2.5M operating c/f which is good but I'm taking out PPE and capitalised development which brings it down to $2,047k. This is a good quarter so it may not be fair to annualise it, but if you did, there's about $8M positive c/f and with current market cap of $90M that's about 11x.

Looking at the Dec half yearly, P&L is negative but I'm adjusting that in a number of ways to estimate the "real" profit.

Add back D&A but subtract the PPE and capitalised dev. Also, there are a lot of one-off costs so you could argue for an underlying profit of about $2.75M which for a half is still not great. If it's stacked towards the most recent quarter, then it's a green shoot to watch.

Third straw in the wind is the growth. Seems like the sales teams are starting to cross-sell, some of the longer lead-time government contracts are bearing fruit and there's been some spending on the NOC which may increase margin in the future. It's not SaaS but there are some high margin retainers and services in the mix as well as consulting type professional services.

If you buy the growth story, then the positive c/f makes this a buy but there's a lot of risk that green shoots will die in the next news.

Q3 cash flow should be out soon and that will add some confidence to the picture.

west
Added 2 years ago

France’s Thales lobs $176m offer for cyber firm Tesserent

Sarah Thompson, Kanika Sood, Emma Rapaport


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It looks as though Austal wasn’t the only ASX-listed defence outfit being scoped out by overseas interests. Tesserent, the country’s largest listed cybersecurity company, is set to sell itself to French defence giant Thales.

The 13¢-a-share bid is a 165 per cent premium to Tesserent’s last closing price of 4.6¢ and has been unanimously recommended by the board. The takeover is subject to approval from the Foreign Investment Review Board.

The offer values Tesserent at $176 million.

Thales is already a big player in cybersecurity, and generated sales of some €1.5 billion ($2.4 billion) last year in that segment. In Australia, the Paris-listed group employs about 3800 staff across all its divisions.

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