Forum Topics FLN FLN Meeting

Pinned straw:

Added 8 months ago

Have finally been hit with Covid (dodged it for 3.5 years!) so need to go lie down, but just a few thoughts on the the Freelancer Meeting before I do:

  • I was genuinely surprised to see a flat/slightly falling share count given the business has recorded a loss for ten years. There's a distinction to be made between statutory profit and free cash flow which i'll need to dig into (the latter seems much better than I would have guessed)
  • Matt has been buying shares and owns 43% of the business now. Together with other board members he owns 84% of the business -- which explains the very low volume. But also points, potentially, to some conviction.
  • Shares are at half the 50c IPO price from a decade ago, but the business is twice as large from a revenue perspective and (potentially) has a lot more earnings potential. in fact..
  • 85% gross margins have the potential to deliver attractive operating/net margins as the business pulls back on certain coasts (Matt said a bit of bloat had crept in)
  • Freelancer is 3-4x the size of the nearest competitor, so should have far superior network effects (more freelancers, which attract more jobs and so on)
  • AI is a big enabler for freelancers in places like India which will make the site even better value, in Matt's view
  • He's clearly a very gregarious character, but his view on VC funding and Aussie Property certainly did resonate a lot with me -- although clearly he's wrong on Bitcoin.. ;)


I have no exposure to Freelancer and not sure I ever would until there are genuine signs of improvement at the bottom line. Matt talks a good talk, but the proof will be in the pudding. Not just in reported profits but a return to top line growth.

For those interested, his SMH Keynote talk is here

His Medium blog post on AI is here

His macro voices podcast is here

thunderhead
8 months ago

Hope you feel better soon Andrew.

You have done exceptionally well dodging it for this long. I have got it for the past two Christmas/New Year periods running after managing to stay out of harms way for the rest of the year - hard to avoid it at that time of the year!

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UlladullaDave
8 months ago

Hope you feel better soon, @Strawman


No real comment on this business beyond this chart seeming to describe many of the complaints about issues with getting paid on Reddit etc from freelancers.

"Other current liabilities" represents amount owed to users on the platform, who as I understand are largely battlers from developing countries, for work completed. Frankly, not the sort of business I want to be involved with.

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Saasquatch
7 months ago

Countless "I" statements and very definitive comments that are opinions. Likeable guy and charismatic interview.

Maybe needs to read a few more books about luck vs skill and behavioural psychology to run a better business and interact without leaving a soured taste upon digestion. All my opinions only of course

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